TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116477
Played Sep 12Finished
Wojciech Pytlas
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115115115––
Rafal Skotniczny
Away
1.64
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
911115115115––
H2H Wojciech Pytlas 1–1 Rafal Skotniczny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (56%)
Skotniczny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pytlas 1384 vs Skotniczny 1436
Skotniczny
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytlas 40% vs Skotniczny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytlas 50% vs Skotniczny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytlas +1 · Skotniczny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Skotniczny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotniczny form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytlas 2.05 / Skotniczny 1.64
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Skotniczny)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13116477
Pytlas2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 56 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back31% 25 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 43
Skotniczny1.64
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 219 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it96% 115 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it82% 167 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePytlas1wins
AwaySkotniczny1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPytlasSkotnicznyP − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.537.0+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytlasSkotnicznyBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 749 vs 592 / 102452.9%57.8%396 / 749 vs 592 / 1024Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznyPytlas 2.05/Skotniczny 1.64
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pytlas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 12 · 06:00W. Pytlas—91111113R. Skotniczny—115551
LAug 2 · 04:50W. Pytlas—114101172R. Skotniczny—811126113
W. Pytlas10
WSep 12 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.57111193113P. Mecik2.2598111172WSep 12 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.401112114113O. Sokolowski2.6581471172LSep 12 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.05711139182K. Adamus1.681131111203LSep 9 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.4410860A. Ruszkiewicz2.501211113LSep 9 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.74911121152S. Krupa1.95116149113WSep 9 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.311111113W. Jozala2.959760WSep 9 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.10761211113M. Koczyba1.60111110892LSep 9 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.5671141152M. Baron2.17118113113WSep 8 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.83151311113P. Kaczynski1.831711531WSep 8 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.6511811113S. Juzek2.10511881
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 12 · 06:45O. Sokolowski3.105870R. Skotniczny1.331111113LSep 12 · 05:10R. Skotniczny1.809570O. Sokolowski1.851111113LSep 12 · 04:00R. Skotniczny1.38413441P. Mecik2.65111111113WSep 11 · 17:05R. Skotniczny1.601111113P. Kurek2.109970LSep 11 · 15:30R. Skotniczny1.85711110S. Szostok1.801113133WSep 11 · 14:20R. Skotniczny1.4211511113P. Mecik2.60711941LSep 11 · 12:45R. Skotniczny1.8011311612J. Pruszkowski1.85811911113LSep 11 · 11:30R. Skotniczny1.921110101182G. Wichowski1.72912127113LSep 11 · 10:20J. Pruszkowski1.95513911133R. Skotniczny1.771111117112WSep 11 · 09:30S. Szostok1.866101131R. Skotniczny1.8011124113
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