TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13124729
Played Sep 14Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1148111012115711
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.48
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:20 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
1148111012115711
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 27–37 Sebastian Szostok Krzysztof Schaniel has won 27 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (61%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-37 in 64
Szostok
Correct
gap of 10 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1412 vs Szostok 1535
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Szostok 80%
Szostok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 50% vs Szostok 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -1 · Szostok +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 2.35 / Szostok 1.48
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Szostok)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13124729
Schaniel2.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 177 of 422
Down 0–1, comes back28% 65 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back11% 14 of 124
Szostok1.48
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 316 of 489
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it79% 203 of 256
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel6wins
AwaySzostok4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel66.7%4 of 6
AwaySzostok50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel6Szostok4n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S2Schaniel5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S3Schaniel6Szostok4n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S4Schaniel6Szostok1n = 7Schaniel took 6 of 7
S5Schaniel1Szostok3n = 4Szostok took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielSzostokSchaniel − SzostokBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.2+3.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime875 / 1754 vs 921 / 157149.9%58.6%875 / 1754 vs 921 / 1571Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSchaniel 2.35/Szostok 1.48
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.6%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 03:00K. Schaniel4711981182S. Szostok41311115113
WAug 22 · 02:10K. Schaniel331111113S. Szostok216690
WAug 21 · 20:05K. Schaniel43101111113S. Szostok35129951
WAug 19 · 24:10K. Schaniel528101111123S. Szostok44111238102
LAug 18 · 20:30K. Schaniel229670S. Szostok331111113
WAug 10 · 01:10K. Schaniel341112113S. Szostok2571080
LAug 9 · 17:30K. Schaniel47911511112S. Szostok46116115133
WAug 3 · 14:20K. Schaniel4111118113S. Szostok35971181
WAug 3 · 08:10K. Schaniel48111214113S. Szostok375141261
LAug 2 · 11:50K. Schaniel4015411282S. Szostok551311911113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110LSep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski1.901111123K. Schaniel1.7579100WSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 02:45R. Wiza2.459260K. Schaniel1.471111113LSep 13 · 01:30A. Szurgot4.2061114113K. Schaniel1.161161251LSep 12 · 23:55R. Szymik1.6591111113K. Schaniel2.02116981WSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza2.5011911352K. Schaniel1.46611611113WSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780LSep 12 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.25118115113K. Schaniel3.5571171142WSep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot4.20811441K. Schaniel1.1611611113
S. Szostok10
WSep 13 · 14:40S. Szostok2.001111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.736860LSep 13 · 13:05S. Szostok1.44117118192Z. Sobkow2.63611311213WSep 13 · 11:50S. Szostok1.80816117113M. Lach1.91111471182WSep 13 · 10:10S. Szostok2.50111111113A. Cichocki1.50136941WSep 13 · 09:00S. Szostok1.831161011113J. Wieczerzak1.8381112772LSep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.501111113S. Szostok2.507880LSep 13 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.3891111113S. Szostok1.53116751WSep 13 · 06:05S. Szostok1.83111110113W. Wojtaszczyk1.83871271LSep 13 · 04:30S. Szostok1.83512851J. Wieczerzak1.83111011113LSep 13 · 03:50M. Lach2.10111166143S. Szostok1.67771111122
Upcoming Matches
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