TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119853
Played Sep 13Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118118––––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:44 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Sebastian Szostok below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 61.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 3–0 Sebastian Szostok Sebastian Szostok has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:44What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Cichocki
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1572 vs Szostok 1450
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 100% vs Szostok 20%
Cichocki
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 80% vs Szostok 50%
Cichocki
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +5 · Szostok -1
Cichocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.50 / Szostok 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119853
Cichocki1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 84 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Szostok2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 66 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back29% 25 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCichocki3wins
AwaySzostok0wins
Cichocki leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCichocki100%3 of 3
AwaySzostokn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki3Szostok0n = 3Cichocki took 3 of 3
S2Cichocki3Szostok0n = 3Cichocki took 3 of 3
S3Cichocki1Szostok2n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCichockiSzostokC − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.334.3+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 186 vs 919 / 156764%58.7%119 / 186 vs 919 / 1567Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.50/Szostok 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 23 · 13:05A. Cichocki401316113S. Szostok28111430
WAug 23 · 06:55A. Cichocki3911134113S. Szostok387111191
WJan 10 · 21:05A. Cichocki3911116113S. Szostok37891191
A. Cichocki10
WSep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.571711113M. Lach2.2515740WSep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.671512116113J. Wieczerzak2.10171091182WSep 13 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.7511611952A. Cichocki1.40511311113WSep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.57101111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.25123541WSep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki1.3351111113M. Paszkiewicz3.25115991LSep 12 · 12:40K. Juszczyk2.501111411113A. Cichocki1.5091311882WSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123LSep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.44510111382Z. Sobkow2.631112511113WSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890WSep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.4011159113M. Paszkiewicz2.757131181
S. Szostok10
LSep 13 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.3891111113S. Szostok1.53116751WSep 13 · 06:05S. Szostok1.83111110113W. Wojtaszczyk1.83871271LSep 13 · 04:30S. Szostok1.83512851J. Wieczerzak1.83111011113LSep 13 · 03:50M. Lach2.10111166143S. Szostok1.67771111122LSep 11 · 16:20J. Pruszkowski1.74671111113S. Szostok1.9511115772WSep 11 · 15:30R. Skotniczny1.85711110S. Szostok1.801113133LSep 11 · 14:45S. Szostok1.601011101182P. Kurek2.10124127113WSep 11 · 13:10S. Szostok1.851111113G. Wichowski1.809770WSep 11 · 12:20P. Mecik2.7510911111S. Szostok1.3612115133WSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670
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