TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114907
Played Sep 12Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51110121151311811
Zbigniew Sobkow
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Zbigniew Sobkow below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 60.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 3–2 Zbigniew Sobkow Zbigniew Sobkow has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cichocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1531 vs Sobkow 1303
Cichocki
Wrong
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 100% vs Sobkow 40%
Cichocki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 90% vs Sobkow 30%
Cichocki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +5 · Sobkow -1
Cichocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cichocki form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.44 / Sobkow 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Cichocki)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13114907
Cichocki1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 78 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Sobkow2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeCichocki3wins
AwaySobkow2wins
4 of 5 to a deciderCichocki leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCichocki100%3 of 3
AwaySobkown = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki3Sobkow2n = 5Cichocki took 3 of 5
S2Cichocki1Sobkow4n = 5Sobkow took 4 of 5
S3Cichocki3Sobkow2n = 5Cichocki took 3 of 5
S4Cichocki1Sobkow3n = 4Sobkow took 3 of 4
S5Cichocki3Sobkow1n = 4Cichocki took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricCichockiSobkowC − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match44.843.8+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 178 vs 49 / 9663.5%51%113 / 178 vs 49 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.44/Sobkow 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sobkow won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki—1741112113Z. Sobkow—151191422
WAug 23 · 10:35A. Cichocki—1110117113Z. Sobkow—61241152
LAug 23 · 03:00A. Cichocki—7560Z. Sobkow—1111113
LAug 22 · 09:00A. Cichocki—81111992Z. Sobkow—117711113
WAug 22 · 04:30A. Cichocki—138911123Z. Sobkow—1111117102
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890WSep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.4011159113M. Paszkiewicz2.757131181WSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20119111082A. Cichocki1.61511812113WSep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.5044100A. Cichocki1.131111123WSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.531741112113Z. Sobkow2.38151191422WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 12 · 09:25K. Juszczyk1.9210111113123Z. Sobkow1.721261311102WSep 12 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.3841191562Z. Sobkow1.531151113113LSep 12 · 07:20Z. Sobkow1.617111061M. Paszkiewicz2.2011712113WSep 12 · 06:05G. Sawicki3.00641181Z. Sobkow1.3611114113LSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.531741112113Z. Sobkow2.38151191422LSep 12 · 03:25K. Juszczyk1.7381111113Z. Sobkow2.00118881LSep 11 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.33111291062O. Sokolowski3.258101112113LSep 11 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.103770O. Jadach1.671111113LSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113WSep 11 · 10:10Z. Sobkow1.67811114163M. Baron2.10118711142
Upcoming Matches
A. Cichocki
Sep 12 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.50K. Juszczyk2.50—Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki1.33M. Paszkiewicz3.25—Sep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 13 · 04:10A. Cichocki1.44Z. Sobkow2.63—Sep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.53M. Lach2.38—Sep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.53S. Szostok2.38—Sep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.57W. Wojtaszczyk2.25—Sep 13 · 10:10A. Cichocki1.53S. Szostok2.38—
Z. Sobkow
Sep 12 · 12:15Z. Sobkow1.73P. Slosarczyk2.00—Sep 12 · 13:30Z. Sobkow1.61M. Paszkiewicz2.20—Sep 12 · 14:40Z. Sobkow2.00W. Urban1.73—Sep 13 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.10J. Wieczerzak1.67—Sep 13 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.63A. Cichocki1.44—Sep 13 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.25S. Szostok1.57—Sep 13 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.10W. Wojtaszczyk1.67—Sep 13 · 09:50Z. Sobkow2.20M. Lach1.61—Sep 13 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.20S. Szostok1.61—
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