TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114918
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118118118––
Zbigniew Sobkow
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Zbigniew Sobkow below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Krzysztof Juszczyk at 54.5%
76 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1459 vs Sobkow 1343
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 60% vs Sobkow 20%
Juszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 70% vs Sobkow 40%
Juszczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk +2 · Sobkow -3
Sobkow
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobkow form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.73 / Sobkow 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Juszczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114918
Juszczyk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 198 of 315
Up 2–0, closes it94% 114 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it79% 159 of 201
Sobkow2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 10 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 1223 vs 47 / 9053.8%52.2%658 / 1223 vs 47 / 90Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.73/Sobkow 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juszczyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113WSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113LSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113LSep 8 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.831111113K. Juszczyk1.816480WSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113WSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540LSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Ogon5.254780K. Juszczyk1.111111113
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 11 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.33111291062O. Sokolowski3.258101112113LSep 11 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.103770O. Jadach1.671111113LSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113WSep 11 · 10:10Z. Sobkow1.67811114163M. Baron2.10118711142LSep 11 · 09:00Z. Sobkow1.50711101172P. Slosarczyk2.50116129113WSep 11 · 07:45M. Baron2.10108110Z. Sobkow1.671211133LSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192WSep 11 · 06:05Z. Sobkow1.501111123O. Sokolowski2.5016100LSep 11 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.50131111452P. Slosarczyk2.501113611113WSep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.201111911132Z. Sobkow1.61461113153
Upcoming Matches
K. Juszczyk1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk1.53M. Paszkiewicz2.38—Sep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Sep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.33G. Sawicki3.25—Sep 12 · 09:25K. Juszczyk1.92Z. Sobkow1.72—Sep 12 · 10:10K. Juszczyk1.67W. Urban2.10—Sep 12 · 11:25K. Juszczyk1.53M. Paszkiewicz2.38—Sep 12 · 12:40K. Juszczyk—A. Cichocki——Sep 12 · 13:55K. Juszczyk1.44P. Slosarczyk2.63—
Z. Sobkow
Sep 12 · 04:55Z. Sobkow2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Sep 12 · 06:05Z. Sobkow1.36G. Sawicki3.00—Sep 12 · 07:20Z. Sobkow1.61M. Paszkiewicz2.20—Sep 12 · 08:35Z. Sobkow1.50P. Slosarczyk2.50—Sep 12 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.72K. Juszczyk1.92—Sep 12 · 11:00Z. Sobkow2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Sep 12 · 12:15Z. Sobkow1.50P. Slosarczyk2.50—Sep 12 · 13:30Z. Sobkow1.61M. Paszkiewicz2.20—Sep 12 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.91W. Urban1.80—
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