TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112675
Played Sep 11Finished
Zbigniew Sobkow
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711711––––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Oskar Jadach below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 59.6%
50 points played in total.
H2H Zbigniew Sobkow 0–1 Oskar Jadach Zbigniew Sobkow has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Jadach beat Sobkow 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1356 vs Jadach 1431
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 40% vs Jadach 60%
Jadach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 40% vs Jadach 60%
Jadach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow -1 · Jadach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 2.10 / Jadach 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jadach)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13112675
Sobkow2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 10 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Jadach1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 322 of 481
Up 2–0, closes it94% 146 of 155
Up 1–0, closes it85% 218 of 257
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSobkow0wins
AwayJadach1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderJadach leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSobkowJadachS − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.044.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 88 vs 798 / 132253.4%60.4%47 / 88 vs 798 / 1322Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachSobkow 2.10/Jadach 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 06:55Z. Sobkow—91151192O. Jadach—115116113
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113WSep 11 · 10:10Z. Sobkow1.67811114163M. Baron2.10118711142LSep 11 · 09:00Z. Sobkow1.50711101172P. Slosarczyk2.50116129113WSep 11 · 07:45M. Baron2.10108110Z. Sobkow1.671211133LSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192WSep 11 · 06:05Z. Sobkow1.501111123O. Sokolowski2.5016100LSep 11 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.50131111452P. Slosarczyk2.501113611113WSep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.201111911132Z. Sobkow1.61461113153LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113
O. Jadach10
WSep 11 · 13:55M. Baron2.381211111062O. Jadach1.53147912113LSep 11 · 12:15O. Jadach1.28871191O. Sokolowski3.5011117113WSep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.3311911113P. Slosarczyk3.25611491LSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.441311113O. Sokolowski2.6311930WSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192LSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:10O. Jadach1.57101213113M. Baron2.2512101101LSep 11 · 03:00O. Jadach1.53116121062P. Slosarczyk2.389111012113WSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Sobkow
Sep 11 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.33O. Sokolowski3.25—Sep 12 · 03:25Z. Sobkow2.00K. Juszczyk1.73—Sep 12 · 04:55Z. Sobkow2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Sep 12 · 06:05Z. Sobkow1.36G. Sawicki3.00—Sep 12 · 07:20Z. Sobkow1.61M. Paszkiewicz2.20—Sep 12 · 08:35Z. Sobkow1.50P. Slosarczyk2.50—Sep 12 · 11:00Z. Sobkow2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Sep 12 · 12:15Z. Sobkow1.50P. Slosarczyk2.50—Sep 12 · 13:30Z. Sobkow1.61M. Paszkiewicz2.20—Sep 12 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.91W. Urban1.80—
O. Jadach
Nothing scheduled
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