TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109696
Played Sep 11Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711117911––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Oskar Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 67.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 3–1 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Jadach beat Sokolowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1431 vs Sokolowski 1258
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 60% vs Sokolowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 60% vs Sokolowski 40%
Jadach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +1 · Sokolowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.28 / Sokolowski 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Jadach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13109696
Jadach1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 322 of 481
Up 2–0, closes it94% 146 of 155
Up 1–0, closes it85% 218 of 257
Sokolowski3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 63 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJadach3wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
Jadach leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach100%3 of 3
AwaySokolowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach3Sokolowski1n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
S2Jadach2Sokolowski2n = 4split evenly
S3Jadach4Sokolowski0n = 4Jadach took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJadachSokolowskiJ − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.826.0+10.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime798 / 1322 vs 115 / 34560.4%33.3%798 / 1322 vs 115 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.28/Sokolowski 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.9%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMar 8 · 14:30O. Jadach—111011133O. Sokolowski—3123111
WMar 8 · 08:30O. Jadach—1111113O. Sokolowski—7790
WNov 1 · 13:20O. Jadach—1111113O. Sokolowski—5650
LNov 1 · 09:20O. Jadach—991171O. Sokolowski—11113113
O. Jadach10
WSep 11 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.103770O. Jadach1.671111113WSep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.3311911113P. Slosarczyk3.25611491LSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.441311113O. Sokolowski2.6311930WSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192LSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:10O. Jadach1.57101213113M. Baron2.2512101101LSep 11 · 03:00O. Jadach1.53116121062P. Slosarczyk2.389111012113WSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113WSep 10 · 15:55O. Jadach1.4717111011113K. Jablonski2.4519912732
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 11 · 13:30O. Sokolowski1.918711111P. Slosarczyk1.8011116133WSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:25M. Baron2.10611471O. Sokolowski1.6711411113LSep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.441311113O. Sokolowski2.6311930WSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91911114113P. Slosarczyk1.8011991152LSep 11 · 06:05Z. Sobkow1.501111123O. Sokolowski2.5016100LSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690LSep 11 · 03:25M. Baron1.8311711113O. Sokolowski1.83811661LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480
Upcoming Matches
O. Jadach
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O. Sokolowski
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