TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107991
Played Sep 10Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
17191191012117113
Karol Jablonski
Away
2.45
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:04 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
110 points played in total.
Set by set
17191191012117113
H2H Oskar Jadach 5–4 Karol Jablonski Karol Jablonski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Jablonski beat Jadach 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1434 vs Jablonski 1339
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 40% vs Jablonski 20%
Jadach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 50% vs Jablonski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -1 · Jablonski -4
Jablonski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (20%) is below what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.47 / Jablonski 2.45
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Jadach)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13107991
Jadach1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 318 of 476
Up 2–0, closes it94% 145 of 154
Up 1–0, closes it85% 217 of 255
Jablonski2.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 30 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwayJablonski4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderJadach leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach75%3 of 4
AwayJablonski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach4Jablonski5n = 9Jablonski took 5 of 9
S2Jadach4Jablonski5n = 9Jablonski took 5 of 9
S3Jadach6Jablonski3n = 9Jadach took 6 of 9
S4Jadach4Jablonski3n = 7Jadach took 4 of 7
S5Jadach2Jablonski2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricJadachJablonskiJadach − JablonskiBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match41.740.9+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime794 / 1317 vs 69 / 15360.3%45.1%794 / 1317 vs 69 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.47/Jablonski 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 10 · 09:55O. Jadach—9101181K. Jablonski—11126113
LJul 12 · 13:55O. Jadach—73100K. Jablonski—1111123
WJul 12 · 07:55O. Jadach—7101113113K. Jablonski—111281172
WJun 7 · 16:40O. Jadach—101111123K. Jablonski—1289101
LJun 7 · 10:40O. Jadach—91251182K. Jablonski—1110114113
WApr 3 · 17:05O. Jadach—1111113K. Jablonski—8970
WApr 3 · 08:45O. Jadach—11714113K. Jablonski—7111291
LJun 24 · 18:45O. Jadach—11813972K. Jablonski—9111111113
WJun 17 · 18:25O. Jadach—1113710113K. Jablonski—411111252
O. Jadach10
WSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113LSep 10 · 14:45K. Adamus1.8291111113O. Jadach1.88117951WSep 10 · 13:30J. Pelka2.65131112892O. Jadach1.381171411113WSep 10 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.9511812101O. Jadach1.3291114123LSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus1.851111113O. Jadach1.858790LSep 10 · 09:55O. Jadach1.709101181K. Jablonski2.0011126113LSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550WSep 10 · 05:55W. Glanowski3.0064100O. Jadach1.311111123WSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292
K. Jablonski10
WSep 10 · 16:40J. Pelka1.8311191172K. Jablonski1.81119116113LSep 10 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.001111113K. Jablonski1.666970LSep 10 · 13:10K. Adamus1.5013911113K. Jablonski2.311111761LSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161LSep 10 · 10:40J. Pelka1.83117117113K. Jablonski1.8191171152WSep 10 · 09:55O. Jadach1.709101181K. Jablonski2.0011126113WSep 10 · 07:55W. Glanowski1.801114731K. Jablonski1.8551611113WSep 10 · 07:10K. Hetnar1.49118831K. Jablonski2.4581111113LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123
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