TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109867
Played Sep 11Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311119113––––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Oskar Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 58 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 67.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 3–1 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Jadach
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1449 vs Sokolowski 1251
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 60% vs Sokolowski 20%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 60% vs Sokolowski 40%
Jadach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +1 · Sokolowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jadach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.44 / Sokolowski 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jadach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13109867
Jadach1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 322 of 481
Up 2–0, closes it94% 146 of 155
Up 1–0, closes it85% 218 of 257
Sokolowski2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 63 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJadach3wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
Jadach leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach100%3 of 3
AwaySokolowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach3Sokolowski1n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
S2Jadach2Sokolowski2n = 4split evenly
S3Jadach4Sokolowski0n = 4Jadach took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJadachSokolowskiJ − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.826.0+10.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime796 / 1318 vs 112 / 34160.4%32.8%796 / 1318 vs 112 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.44/Sokolowski 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMar 8 · 14:30O. Jadach—111011133O. Sokolowski—3123111
WMar 8 · 08:30O. Jadach—1111113O. Sokolowski—7790
WNov 1 · 13:20O. Jadach—1111113O. Sokolowski—5650
LNov 1 · 09:20O. Jadach—991171O. Sokolowski—11113113
O. Jadach10
WSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192LSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:10O. Jadach1.57101213113M. Baron2.2512101101LSep 11 · 03:00O. Jadach1.53116121062P. Slosarczyk2.389111012113WSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113WSep 10 · 15:55O. Jadach1.4717111011113K. Jablonski2.4519912732LSep 10 · 14:45K. Adamus1.8291111113O. Jadach1.88117951WSep 10 · 13:30J. Pelka2.65131112892O. Jadach1.381171411113WSep 10 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.9511812101O. Jadach1.3291114123LSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus1.851111113O. Jadach1.858790
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91911114113P. Slosarczyk1.8011991152LSep 11 · 06:05Z. Sobkow1.501111123O. Sokolowski2.5016100LSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690LSep 11 · 03:25M. Baron1.8311711113O. Sokolowski1.83811661LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480WAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151LAug 31 · 10:35O. Sokolowski3.7511139792W. Wojtaszczyk1.255111111113WAug 31 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.5051171192O. Sokolowski2.50115115113WAug 31 · 08:35O. Sokolowski1.33141136123I. Szymanski3.251251111102
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