TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108728
Played Sep 11Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11961112101012611
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 70.6% is still 70.6%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
70.6%
70.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Pawel Slosarczyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 98 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 70.6%
98 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 10–1 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-1 in 11
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1454 vs Slosarczyk 1265
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Slosarczyk 40%
Jadach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 50% vs Slosarczyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +2 · Slosarczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.53 / Slosarczyk 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Jadach)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13108728
Jadach1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 318 of 476
Up 2–0, closes it94% 145 of 154
Up 1–0, closes it85% 217 of 255
Slosarczyk2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
As underdog32% won 105 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back15% 28 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach9wins
AwaySlosarczyk1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach88.9%8 of 9
AwaySlosarczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach9Slosarczyk1n = 10Jadach took 9 of 10
S2Jadach7Slosarczyk3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S3Jadach5Slosarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadach5Slosarczyk2n = 7Jadach took 5 of 7
S5Jadach3Slosarczyk1n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachSlosarczykJ − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.735.1+7.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime794 / 1314 vs 315 / 82360.4%38.3%794 / 1314 vs 315 / 823Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.53/Slosarczyk 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.2%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 13:10O. Jadach—1110911113P. Slosarczyk—31211852
LSep 3 · 05:30O. Jadach—12771292P. Slosarczyk—10111110113
WNov 1 · 15:45O. Jadach—11119113P. Slosarczyk—741161
WNov 1 · 12:05O. Jadach—1213711113P. Slosarczyk—1011111362
WOct 12 · 12:20O. Jadach—111268113P. Slosarczyk—410111182
WOct 12 · 08:20O. Jadach—14512123P. Slosarczyk—121110101
WJun 24 · 23:35O. Jadach—1111113P. Slosarczyk—9770
WJun 24 · 20:20O. Jadach—1111133P. Slosarczyk—55110
WJun 17 · 16:50O. Jadach—1111113P. Slosarczyk—8680
WMay 21 · 11:55O. Jadach—71111113P. Slosarczyk—114661
O. Jadach10
WSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113WSep 10 · 15:55O. Jadach1.4717111011113K. Jablonski2.4519912732LSep 10 · 14:45K. Adamus1.8291111113O. Jadach1.88117951WSep 10 · 13:30J. Pelka2.65131112892O. Jadach1.381171411113WSep 10 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.9511812101O. Jadach1.3291114123LSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus1.851111113O. Jadach1.858790LSep 10 · 09:55O. Jadach1.709101181K. Jablonski2.0011126113LSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550WSep 10 · 05:55W. Glanowski3.0064100O. Jadach1.311111123
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 10 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.923P. Slosarczyk1.731WSep 10 · 07:10M. Lebek1.356111011102P. Slosarczyk2.75119127123LSep 10 · 06:30P. Slosarczyk1.86791171A. Burkacki1.8311117113WSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172LSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk1.861111113A. Burkacki1.838690LSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472LSep 9 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk2.07311101152M. Baron1.62118129113LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113
Upcoming Matches
O. Jadach
Sep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50J. Pelka2.50—Sep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73Z. Sobkow2.00—Sep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Sep 11 · 09:50O. Jadach1.50J. Pelka2.50—Sep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.57P. Slosarczyk2.25—Sep 11 · 12:15O. Jadach1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Sep 11 · 13:05O. Jadach1.60Z. Sobkow2.11—Sep 11 · 13:55O. Jadach1.57M. Baron2.25—
P. Slosarczyk
Sep 11 · 04:30P. Slosarczyk2.50Z. Sobkow1.50—Sep 11 · 05:15P. Slosarczyk2.10M. Baron1.67—Sep 11 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk1.80O. Sokolowski1.91—Sep 11 · 08:10P. Slosarczyk2.38J. Pelka1.53—Sep 11 · 09:00P. Slosarczyk2.50Z. Sobkow1.50—Sep 11 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk2.25O. Jadach1.57—Sep 11 · 11:25P. Slosarczyk2.10M. Baron1.67—Sep 11 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk1.80O. Sokolowski1.91—Sep 11 · 14:20P. Slosarczyk2.38J. Pelka1.53—
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