TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106285
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
1.92
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
––––––––––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Slosarczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 10–8 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Slosarczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Kaczmarek
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1296 vs Slosarczyk 1278
Kaczmarek
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 60% vs Slosarczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 50% vs Slosarczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek +1 · Slosarczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slosarczyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 1.92 / Slosarczyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slosarczyk)+1.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13106285
Kaczmarek1.92
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 168 of 505
Down 0–1, comes back18% 59 of 323
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 180
Slosarczyk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 98 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it84% 71 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek5wins
AwaySlosarczyk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek80%4 of 5
AwaySlosarczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek5Slosarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kaczmarek6Slosarczyk4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Kaczmarek4Slosarczyk6n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S4Kaczmarek4Slosarczyk1n = 5Kaczmarek took 4 of 5
S5Kaczmarek1Slosarczyk2n = 3Slosarczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekSlosarczykK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.7+1.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 1299 vs 315 / 82236.5%38.3%474 / 1299 vs 315 / 822Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlosarczykKaczmarek 1.92/Slosarczyk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Slosarczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 11:00J. Kaczmarek—1211141172P. Slosarczyk—145167113
WAug 5 · 04:55J. Kaczmarek—1113113P. Slosarczyk—81190
LJul 27 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek—77100P. Slosarczyk—1111123
WJul 19 · 23:30J. Kaczmarek—1211113P. Slosarczyk—10760
WJun 18 · 13:30J. Kaczmarek—1111123P. Slosarczyk—86100
LJun 18 · 07:20J. Kaczmarek—118911112P. Slosarczyk—511119133
WMay 22 · 05:30J. Kaczmarek—11115113P. Slosarczyk—661161
LMay 10 · 22:50J. Kaczmarek—711771P. Slosarczyk—11411113
LMar 29 · 21:10J. Kaczmarek—7690P. Slosarczyk—1111113
WMar 2 · 02:10J. Kaczmarek—681112113P. Slosarczyk—111171082
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 10 · 06:50J. Kaczmarek2.65681571P. Adamus1.38111113113WSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850LSep 9 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.831111981M. Sikon1.8391311113WSep 9 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.10511711113M. Adamus1.6711811692LSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 10 · 07:10M. Lebek1.356111011102P. Slosarczyk2.75119127123LSep 10 · 06:30P. Slosarczyk1.86791171A. Burkacki1.8311117113WSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172LSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk1.861111113A. Burkacki1.838690LSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472LSep 9 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk2.07311101152M. Baron1.62118129113LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113
Upcoming Matches
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P. Slosarczyk
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