TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109306
Played Sep 11Finished
Zbigniew Sobkow
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1111161210––––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:39 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Sobkow to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Oskar Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 51 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Zbigniew Sobkow at 63.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Zbigniew Sobkow 1–0 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sobkow
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1384 vs Sokolowski 1251
Sobkow
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 40% vs Sokolowski 20%
Sobkow
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 30% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow -1 · Sokolowski -4
Sokolowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sobkow) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 1.50 / Sokolowski 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Sobkow)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13109306
Sobkow1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 21 of 29
Sokolowski2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 63 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSobkow1wins
AwaySokolowski0wins
Sobkow leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSobkowSokolowskiSobkow − SokolowskiBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.017.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 85 vs 112 / 34154.1%32.8%46 / 85 vs 112 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobkowSobkow 1.50/Sokolowski 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Sobkow · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobkow won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 06:05Z. Sobkow—1111123O. Sokolowski—16100
Z. Sobkow10
WSep 11 · 07:45M. Baron2.10108110Z. Sobkow1.671211133LSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192LSep 11 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.50131111452P. Slosarczyk2.501113611113WSep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.201111911132Z. Sobkow1.61461113153LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113WSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581LSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91911114113P. Slosarczyk1.8011991152LSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690LSep 11 · 03:25M. Baron1.8311711113O. Sokolowski1.83811661LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480WAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151LAug 31 · 10:35O. Sokolowski3.7511139792W. Wojtaszczyk1.255111111113WAug 31 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.5051171192O. Sokolowski2.50115115113WAug 31 · 08:35O. Sokolowski1.33141136123I. Szymanski3.251251111102LAug 31 · 06:55O. Sokolowski2.63814391P. Brozek1.44111211113
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