TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110624
Played Sep 11Finished
Oskar Sokolowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8117111161113––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Slosarczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOskar Sokolowski above · Pawel Slosarczyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 78 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Pawel Slosarczyk at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Sokolowski 3–6 Pawel Slosarczyk Oskar Sokolowski has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sokolowski beat Slosarczyk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slosarczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Slosarczyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1258 vs Slosarczyk 1302
Slosarczyk
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 80% vs Slosarczyk 20%
Sokolowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 40% vs Slosarczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +3 · Slosarczyk -2
Sokolowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slosarczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.91 / Slosarczyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slosarczyk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13110624
Sokolowski1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 63 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 76
Slosarczyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite67% won 98 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it84% 71 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSokolowski3wins
AwaySlosarczyk6wins
6 of 9 to a deciderSlosarczyk leads 6–3, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski33.3%1 of 3
AwaySlosarczyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski3Slosarczyk6n = 9Slosarczyk took 6 of 9
S2Sokolowski3Slosarczyk6n = 9Slosarczyk took 6 of 9
S3Sokolowski6Slosarczyk3n = 9Sokolowski took 6 of 9
S4Sokolowski4Slosarczyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Sokolowski2Slosarczyk4n = 6Slosarczyk took 4 of 6
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSokolowskiSlosarczykSokolowski − SlosarczykBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match43.744.3−0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 345 vs 319 / 83133.3%38.4%115 / 345 vs 319 / 831Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlosarczykSokolowski 1.91/Slosarczyk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slosarczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski—911114113P. Slosarczyk—11991152
LJun 17 · 01:25O. Sokolowski—11881182P. Slosarczyk—411117113
LJun 16 · 20:30O. Sokolowski—911121152P. Slosarczyk—118149113
WJun 9 · 15:55O. Sokolowski—101111113P. Slosarczyk—125861
LJun 9 · 09:55O. Sokolowski—910111262P. Slosarczyk—1112910113
WApr 27 · 02:45O. Sokolowski—119147113P. Slosarczyk—511121152
LApr 26 · 18:25O. Sokolowski—610100P. Slosarczyk—1112123
LNov 1 · 14:30O. Sokolowski—9811121P. Slosarczyk—11118143
LNov 1 · 08:30O. Sokolowski—11711872P. Slosarczyk—811911113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 11 · 12:15O. Jadach1.28871191O. Sokolowski3.5011117113WSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:25M. Baron2.10611471O. Sokolowski1.6711411113LSep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.441311113O. Sokolowski2.6311930WSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91911114113P. Slosarczyk1.8011991152LSep 11 · 06:05Z. Sobkow1.501111123O. Sokolowski2.5016100LSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690LSep 11 · 03:25M. Baron1.8311711113O. Sokolowski1.83811661LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 11 · 11:25M. Baron1.6781115113P. Slosarczyk2.101181371LSep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.3311911113P. Slosarczyk3.25611491WSep 11 · 09:00Z. Sobkow1.50711101172P. Slosarczyk2.50116129113LSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182LSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91911114113P. Slosarczyk1.8011991152WSep 11 · 05:15M. Baron1.6769111142P. Slosarczyk2.10111189113WSep 11 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.50131111452P. Slosarczyk2.501113611113WSep 11 · 03:00O. Jadach1.53116121062P. Slosarczyk2.389111012113LSep 10 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.923P. Slosarczyk1.731WSep 10 · 07:10M. Lebek1.356111011102P. Slosarczyk2.75119127123
Upcoming Matches
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