TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110226
Played Sep 11Finished
Zbigniew Sobkow
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111161012119711
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Sobkow to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Pawel Slosarczyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 95 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Zbigniew Sobkow at 63.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Zbigniew Sobkow 1–2 Pawel Slosarczyk Zbigniew Sobkow has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sobkow
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1384 vs Slosarczyk 1287
Sobkow
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 60% vs Slosarczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 50% vs Slosarczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow +1 · Slosarczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sobkow)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 1.50 / Slosarczyk 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Sobkow)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13110226
Sobkow1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 21 of 29
Slosarczyk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog32% won 108 of 335
Down 0–1, comes back15% 29 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSobkow1wins
AwaySlosarczyk2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSlosarczyk leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobkow2Slosarczyk1n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
S2Sobkow1Slosarczyk2n = 3Slosarczyk took 2 of 3
S3Sobkow2Slosarczyk1n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
S4Sobkow2Slosarczyk1n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSobkowSlosarczykSobkow − SlosarczykBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match44.047.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 85 vs 318 / 82854.1%38.4%46 / 85 vs 318 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobkowSobkow 1.50/Slosarczyk 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Sobkow · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 11 · 04:30Z. Sobkow—131111452P. Slosarczyk—1113611113
WSep 4 · 13:05Z. Sobkow—51116113P. Slosarczyk—1181481
LSep 4 · 06:55Z. Sobkow—11591192P. Slosarczyk—611119113
Z. Sobkow10
WSep 11 · 07:45M. Baron2.10108110Z. Sobkow1.671211133LSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192WSep 11 · 06:05Z. Sobkow1.501111123O. Sokolowski2.5016100LSep 11 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.50131111452P. Slosarczyk2.501113611113WSep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.201111911132Z. Sobkow1.61461113153LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113WSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581LSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182LSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91911114113P. Slosarczyk1.8011991152WSep 11 · 05:15M. Baron1.6769111142P. Slosarczyk2.10111189113WSep 11 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.50131111452P. Slosarczyk2.501113611113WSep 11 · 03:00O. Jadach1.53116121062P. Slosarczyk2.389111012113LSep 10 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.923P. Slosarczyk1.731WSep 10 · 07:10M. Lebek1.356111011102P. Slosarczyk2.75119127123LSep 10 · 06:30P. Slosarczyk1.86791171A. Burkacki1.8311117113WSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172LSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101
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