TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13045846
Played Aug 30Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1174119111513611
Aleksander Cichocki
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOliwier Sokolowski above · Aleksander Cichocki below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 98 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 0–1 Aleksander Cichocki Oliwier Sokolowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1348 vs Cichocki 1487
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 40% vs Cichocki 80%
Cichocki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 50% vs Cichocki 70%
Cichocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +1 · Cichocki +3
Cichocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cichocki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 2.50 / Cichocki 1.46
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13045846
Sokolowski2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 101 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 106
Cichocki1.46
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 71 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSokolowski0wins
AwayCichocki1wins
Cichocki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSokolowskiCichockiS − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.033.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiCichockiBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 468 vs 104 / 16841.5%61.9%194 / 468 vs 104 / 168Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiSokolowski 2.50/Cichocki 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 30 · 07:45O. Sokolowski—2890A. Cichocki—1111113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 12 · 03:35O. Sokolowski2.251712113O. Sokolowski1.57151080WSep 11 · 19:40S. Krupa1.67121031362O. Sokolowski2.1010121111113LSep 11 · 18:55K. Schaniel1.8011117113O. Sokolowski1.91791191LSep 11 · 18:10O. Sokolowski1.91911871O. Vincenec1.8011911113WSep 11 · 16:35O. Sokolowski3.25911611113L. Oracz1.3311311792LSep 11 · 15:50A. Ruszkiewicz2.501011911113O. Sokolowski1.5012911862WSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113LSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791LSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.361111113O. Sokolowski3.002890WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.73149561J. Wieczerzak2.00121111113WAug 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk4.005890A. Cichocki1.221111113LAug 30 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.14861131R. Idaczyk5.0011119113
Upcoming Matches
O. Sokolowski1 of 9 neutral
Sep 12 · 05:10O. Sokolowski2.40R. Skotniczny1.46—Sep 12 · 06:25O. Sokolowski1.66P. Mecik2.01—Sep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.46K. Adamus1.44—Sep 12 · 08:45O. Sokolowski2.14W. Pytlas1.58—Sep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski—G. Sawicki——Sep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski—R. Szymik——Sep 13 · 02:20O. Sokolowski—A. Szurgot——Sep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski—R. Wiza——Sep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski—K. Schaniel——
A. Cichocki
Sep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 05:40A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.61K. Juszczyk2.20—Sep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.40M. Paszkiewicz2.75—Sep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 11:50A. Cichocki1.50W. Urban2.50—Sep 12 · 12:40A. Cichocki—K. Juszczyk——Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki—M. Paszkiewicz——
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