TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13042237
Played Aug 30Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81111712101210––
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Jacek Wieczerzak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 7–7 Jacek Wieczerzak Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1488 vs Wieczerzak 1510
Wieczerzak
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 80% vs Wieczerzak 40%
Cichocki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 70% vs Wieczerzak 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +4 · Wieczerzak -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cichocki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.73 / Wieczerzak 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Cichocki)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13042237
Cichocki1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 71 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Wieczerzak2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 34 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCichocki5wins
AwayWieczerzak5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCichocki66.7%4 of 6
AwayWieczerzak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki6Wieczerzak4n = 10Cichocki took 6 of 10
S2Cichocki3Wieczerzak7n = 10Wieczerzak took 7 of 10
S3Cichocki7Wieczerzak3n = 10Cichocki took 7 of 10
S4Cichocki2Wieczerzak5n = 7Wieczerzak took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCichockiWieczerzakC − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.337.3−1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 172 vs 125 / 23362.2%53.7%107 / 172 vs 125 / 233Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.73/Wieczerzak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki—81112123J. Wieczerzak—11710101
LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki—149561J. Wieczerzak—121111113
LAug 29 · 09:00A. Cichocki—591161J. Wieczerzak—11118113
LAug 29 · 04:30A. Cichocki—871141J. Wieczerzak—11118113
WAug 23 · 09:50A. Cichocki—1111113J. Wieczerzak—8880
WAug 23 · 05:40A. Cichocki—11811113J. Wieczerzak—711971
LAug 22 · 11:50A. Cichocki—117981J. Wieczerzak—91111113
WAug 22 · 03:50A. Cichocki—1213119113J. Wieczerzak—101591192
WAug 10 · 13:55A. Cichocki—1111113J. Wieczerzak—3990
LAug 10 · 04:10A. Cichocki—9990J. Wieczerzak—1111113
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113WAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.361111113O. Sokolowski3.002890WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.73149561J. Wieczerzak2.00121111113WAug 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk4.005890A. Cichocki1.221111113LAug 30 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.14861131R. Idaczyk5.0011119113
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133WAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.73149561J. Wieczerzak2.00121111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Cichocki
Sep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 05:40A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.61K. Juszczyk2.20—Sep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.40M. Paszkiewicz2.75—Sep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 11:50A. Cichocki1.50W. Urban2.50—Sep 12 · 12:40A. Cichocki—K. Juszczyk——Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki—M. Paszkiewicz——
J. Wieczerzak
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