TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13042231
Played Aug 30Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611119311––
Rafal Idaczyk
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:35 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Rafal Idaczyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 70 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 79.4%
70 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 2–1 Rafal Idaczyk Rafal Idaczyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Cichocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1491 vs Idaczyk 1294
Cichocki
Wrong
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 60% vs Idaczyk 20%
Cichocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 70% vs Idaczyk 10%
Cichocki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +2 · Idaczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cichocki form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.14 / Idaczyk 5.00
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13042231
Cichocki1.14
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 64 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Idaczyk5.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 97 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCichocki2wins
AwayIdaczyk1wins
Cichocki leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki2Idaczyk1n = 3Cichocki took 2 of 3
S2Cichocki2Idaczyk1n = 3Cichocki took 2 of 3
S3Cichocki3Idaczyk0n = 3Cichocki took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCichockiIdaczykC − IBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match31.326.3+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 163 vs 463 / 93961.4%49.3%100 / 163 vs 463 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.14/Idaczyk 5.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.2%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 30 · 03:25A. Cichocki—861131R. Idaczyk—11119113
WAug 29 · 13:05A. Cichocki—1111113R. Idaczyk—4860
WAug 29 · 06:55A. Cichocki—1111113R. Idaczyk—6850
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113WAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.361111113O. Sokolowski3.002890WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.73149561J. Wieczerzak2.00121111113WAug 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk4.005890A. Cichocki1.221111113
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.341111113R. Komandzik3.005660LSep 11 · 04:25Y. Fomin1.801311113R. Idaczyk1.8611850LSep 11 · 03:35R. Idaczyk1.80912731J. Nowak1.85111011113LSep 10 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.10115921P. Kurek1.6761111113LSep 10 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.1086100M. Sikon1.671111123LSep 10 · 11:25R. Idaczyk2.6312850K. Slawinski1.441411113LSep 10 · 10:10L. Oracz1.53111176153R. Idaczyk2.38821111132LAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591
Upcoming Matches
A. Cichocki
Sep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 05:40A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.61K. Juszczyk2.20—Sep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.40M. Paszkiewicz2.75—Sep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 11:50A. Cichocki1.50W. Urban2.50—Sep 12 · 12:40A. Cichocki—K. Juszczyk——Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki—M. Paszkiewicz——
R. Idaczyk
Nothing scheduled
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