TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13042226
Played Aug 30Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611115119––
Rafal Idaczyk
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:36 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Rafal Idaczyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 79.4%
70 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 2–0 Rafal Idaczyk Rafal Idaczyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1479 vs Idaczyk 1344
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 60% vs Idaczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 60% vs Idaczyk 40%
Cichocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +2 · Idaczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Idaczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.20 / Idaczyk 4.33
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13042226
Cichocki1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 71 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Idaczyk4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCichocki2wins
AwayIdaczyk0wins
Cichocki leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCichockiIdaczykC − IBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.018.5+14.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 167 vs 464 / 94261.7%49.3%103 / 167 vs 464 / 942Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.20/Idaczyk 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.1%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 29 · 13:05A. Cichocki—1111113R. Idaczyk—4860
WAug 29 · 06:55A. Cichocki—1111113R. Idaczyk—6850
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.361111113O. Sokolowski3.002890WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.73149561J. Wieczerzak2.00121111113WAug 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk4.005890A. Cichocki1.221111113LAug 30 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.14861131R. Idaczyk5.0011119113
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.341111113R. Komandzik3.005660LSep 11 · 04:25Y. Fomin1.801311113R. Idaczyk1.8611850LSep 11 · 03:35R. Idaczyk1.80912731J. Nowak1.85111011113LSep 10 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.10115921P. Kurek1.6761111113LSep 10 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.1086100M. Sikon1.671111123LSep 10 · 11:25R. Idaczyk2.6312850K. Slawinski1.441411113LSep 10 · 10:10L. Oracz1.53111176153R. Idaczyk2.38821111132WAug 30 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.14861131R. Idaczyk5.0011119113
Upcoming Matches
A. Cichocki
Sep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 05:40A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.61K. Juszczyk2.20—Sep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.40M. Paszkiewicz2.75—Sep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 11:50A. Cichocki1.50W. Urban2.50—Sep 12 · 12:40A. Cichocki—K. Juszczyk——Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki—M. Paszkiewicz——
R. Idaczyk
Nothing scheduled
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