TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13042002
Played Aug 30Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112118119––––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Oliwier Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 71.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 2–0 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1488 vs Sokolowski 1351
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 60% vs Sokolowski 40%
Cichocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 60% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cichocki form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.36 / Sokolowski 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13042002
Cichocki1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 77 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it91% 59 of 65
Sokolowski3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 104 of 290
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCichocki2wins
AwaySokolowski0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderCichocki leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCichockiSokolowskiC − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.032.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 172 vs 196 / 47262.2%41.5%107 / 172 vs 196 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.36/Sokolowski 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 30 · 10:10A. Cichocki—7111113113O. Sokolowski—11491562
WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki—1111113O. Sokolowski—2890
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113WAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.73149561J. Wieczerzak2.00121111113WAug 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk4.005890A. Cichocki1.221111113LAug 30 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.14861131R. Idaczyk5.0011119113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 12 · 03:35O. Sokolowski2.251712113O. Sokolowski1.57151080WSep 11 · 19:40S. Krupa1.67121031362O. Sokolowski2.1010121111113LSep 11 · 18:55K. Schaniel1.8011117113O. Sokolowski1.91791191LSep 11 · 18:10O. Sokolowski1.91911871O. Vincenec1.8011911113WSep 11 · 16:35O. Sokolowski3.25911611113L. Oracz1.3311311792LSep 11 · 15:50A. Ruszkiewicz2.501011911113O. Sokolowski1.5012911862WSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113LSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791LSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113
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