TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13042227
Played Aug 30Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118511117311
Marcin Lach
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:32 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Marcin Lach below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 83 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 57.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 8–5 Marcin Lach Marcin Lach has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Cichocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Cichocki
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1497 vs Lach 1392
Cichocki
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 100% vs Lach 60%
Cichocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 80% vs Lach 50%
Cichocki
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +5 · Lach -1
Cichocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.57 / Lach 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Cichocki)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13042227
Cichocki1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 71 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Lach2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 15 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCichocki5wins
AwayLach5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCichocki100%5 of 5
AwayLach100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki5Lach5n = 10split evenly
S2Cichocki6Lach4n = 10Cichocki took 6 of 10
S3Cichocki3Lach7n = 10Lach took 7 of 10
S4Cichocki1Lach4n = 5Lach took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCichockiLachC − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.336.6−2.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiLachBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 169 vs 123 / 19462.1%63.4%105 / 169 vs 123 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.57/Lach 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki—1111113M. Lach—9980
LAug 29 · 11:50A. Cichocki—7124101M. Lach—111011123
WAug 29 · 03:50A. Cichocki—1111123M. Lach—97100
LAug 23 · 13:55A. Cichocki—8670M. Lach—1111113
LAug 23 · 04:10A. Cichocki—10940M. Lach—1211113
WAug 22 · 10:10A. Cichocki—1111814123M. Lach—861116102
WAug 22 · 07:45A. Cichocki—11912123M. Lach—61110101
WAug 10 · 12:40A. Cichocki—111189113M. Lach—76111182
LAug 10 · 06:30A. Cichocki—5560M. Lach—1111113
LAug 9 · 12:40A. Cichocki—911581M. Lach—11611113
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113WAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.361111113O. Sokolowski3.002890WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.73149561J. Wieczerzak2.00121111113WAug 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk4.005890A. Cichocki1.221111113LAug 30 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.14861131R. Idaczyk5.0011119113
M. Lach10
LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111WSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101WSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik2.5510111161M. Lach1.4612913113LAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 05:40A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.61K. Juszczyk2.20—Sep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.40M. Paszkiewicz2.75—Sep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 11:50A. Cichocki1.50W. Urban2.50—Sep 12 · 12:40A. Cichocki—K. Juszczyk——Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki—M. Paszkiewicz——
M. Lach
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