TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13042010
Played Aug 30Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412911511611––
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Jacek Wieczerzak below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 79 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 6–5 Jacek Wieczerzak Jacek Wieczerzak has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:55What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Cichocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1476 vs Wieczerzak 1568
Wieczerzak
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 60% vs Wieczerzak 100%
Wieczerzak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 70% vs Wieczerzak 90%
Wieczerzak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +1 · Wieczerzak +5
Wieczerzak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wieczerzak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.73 / Wieczerzak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cichocki)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13042010
Cichocki1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 71 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Wieczerzak2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 34 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCichocki5wins
AwayWieczerzak5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCichocki83.3%5 of 6
AwayWieczerzak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki6Wieczerzak4n = 10Cichocki took 6 of 10
S2Cichocki4Wieczerzak6n = 10Wieczerzak took 6 of 10
S3Cichocki6Wieczerzak4n = 10Cichocki took 6 of 10
S4Cichocki2Wieczerzak5n = 7Wieczerzak took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCichockiWieczerzakC − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.136.2−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 164 vs 122 / 22561.6%54.2%101 / 164 vs 122 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.73/Wieczerzak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 04:30A. Cichocki—871141J. Wieczerzak—11118113
WAug 23 · 09:50A. Cichocki—1111113J. Wieczerzak—8880
WAug 23 · 05:40A. Cichocki—11811113J. Wieczerzak—711971
LAug 22 · 11:50A. Cichocki—117981J. Wieczerzak—91111113
WAug 22 · 03:50A. Cichocki—1213119113J. Wieczerzak—101591192
WAug 10 · 13:55A. Cichocki—1111113J. Wieczerzak—3990
LAug 10 · 04:10A. Cichocki—9990J. Wieczerzak—1111113
LAug 9 · 13:55A. Cichocki—811771J. Wieczerzak—11711113
LAug 9 · 04:10A. Cichocki—611991J. Wieczerzak—11911113
WAug 8 · 09:50A. Cichocki—11511113J. Wieczerzak—311891
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113WAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.361111113O. Sokolowski3.002890WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980WAug 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk4.005890A. Cichocki1.221111113LAug 30 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.14861131R. Idaczyk5.0011119113
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101
Upcoming Matches
A. Cichocki
Sep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 05:40A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.61K. Juszczyk2.20—Sep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.40M. Paszkiewicz2.75—Sep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 12 · 11:50A. Cichocki1.50W. Urban2.50—Sep 12 · 12:40A. Cichocki—K. Juszczyk——Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki—M. Paszkiewicz——
J. Wieczerzak
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