TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115000
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611411114811––
Zbigniew Sobkow
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Sobkow to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Sawicki above · Zbigniew Sobkow below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 66 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Zbigniew Sobkow at 71.6%
66 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 0–2 Zbigniew Sobkow Grzegorz Sawicki has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sobkow
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1269 vs Sobkow 1306
Sobkow
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 60% vs Sobkow 0%
Sawicki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 30% vs Sobkow 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki +1 · Sobkow -5
Sobkow
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Sobkow) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobkow form (0%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 3.00 / Sobkow 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Sobkow)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13115000
Sawicki3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 126 of 376
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 248
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 159
Sobkow1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 33 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it70% 23 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSawicki0wins
AwaySobkow2wins
Sobkow leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSawickiSobkowSawicki − SobkowBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match35.542.0−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 900 vs 48 / 9439.7%51.1%357 / 900 vs 48 / 94Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobkowSawicki 3.00/Sobkow 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Sobkow · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobkow won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 12 · 06:05G. Sawicki—641181Z. Sobkow—11114113
LSep 5 · 07:45G. Sawicki—81110131Z. Sobkow—11912153
G. Sawicki10
WSep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.3371090G. Sawicki3.251112113LSep 12 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk1.2511511113G. Sawicki3.75711691WSep 12 · 04:30G. Sawicki2.5011118113M. Paszkiewicz1.50971171LSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WSep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10891111113O. Vincenec1.6711117982LSep 12 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.6381260K. Schaniel1.441114113WSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102LSep 11 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7511118101S. Krupa1.4081311123LSep 11 · 21:00G. Sawicki3.0013770L. Oracz1.361511113LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 12 · 07:20Z. Sobkow1.617111061M. Paszkiewicz2.2011712113LSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.531741112113Z. Sobkow2.38151191422LSep 12 · 03:25K. Juszczyk1.7381111113Z. Sobkow2.00118881LSep 11 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.33111291062O. Sokolowski3.258101112113LSep 11 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.103770O. Jadach1.671111113LSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113WSep 11 · 10:10Z. Sobkow1.67811114163M. Baron2.10118711142LSep 11 · 09:00Z. Sobkow1.50711101172P. Slosarczyk2.50116129113WSep 11 · 07:45M. Baron2.10108110Z. Sobkow1.671211133LSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki1 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 17:30G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Sep 12 · 19:10G. Sawicki—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 19:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 21:55G. Sawicki—K. Schaniel——Sep 12 · 22:40G. Sawicki—A. Szurgot——Sep 12 · 23:30G. Sawicki—O. Sokolowski——Sep 13 · 01:10G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Sep 13 · 01:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Sep 13 · 03:55G. Sawicki—K. Schaniel——Sep 13 · 04:40G. Sawicki—A. Szurgot——
Z. Sobkow
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