TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114895
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117811117––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Sawicki above · Michal Paszkiewicz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Michal Paszkiewicz at 66.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 0–5 Michal Paszkiewicz Grzegorz Sawicki has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1252 vs Paszkiewicz 1313
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 40% vs Paszkiewicz 20%
Sawicki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 30% vs Paszkiewicz 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -1 · Paszkiewicz -3
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 2.50 / Paszkiewicz 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114895
Sawicki2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 126 of 381
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 252
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 162
Paszkiewicz1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSawicki0wins
AwayPaszkiewicz5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawickin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPaszkiewicz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki0Paszkiewicz5n = 5Paszkiewicz took 5 of 5
S2Sawicki0Paszkiewicz5n = 5Paszkiewicz took 5 of 5
S3Sawicki2Paszkiewicz3n = 5Paszkiewicz took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricSawickiPaszkiewiczS − PBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match29.239.6−10.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 896 vs 427 / 80239.6%53.2%355 / 896 vs 427 / 802Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczSawicki 2.50/Paszkiewicz 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 16 · 21:35G. Sawicki—9611101M. Paszkiewicz—11113123
LAug 16 · 15:35G. Sawicki—94111312M. Paszkiewicz—1111911113
LJul 19 · 08:20G. Sawicki—165100M. Paszkiewicz—1811123
LJun 20 · 03:50G. Sawicki—61030M. Paszkiewicz—1112113
LOct 4 · 06:45G. Sawicki—9670M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
G. Sawicki10
LSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WSep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10891111113O. Vincenec1.6711117982LSep 12 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.6381260K. Schaniel1.441114113WSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102LSep 11 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7511118101S. Krupa1.4081311123LSep 11 · 21:00G. Sawicki3.0013770L. Oracz1.361511113LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 12 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk2.251111123M. Paszkiewicz1.5745100LSep 9 · 08:20M. Adamus1.8811119113M. Paszkiewicz1.82971181LSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960WSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.00111110113M. Paszkiewicz1.71591261LSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940LSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931WSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki2 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 06:05G. Sawicki3.00Z. Sobkow1.36—Sep 12 · 06:55G. Sawicki3.75P. Slosarczyk1.25—Sep 12 · 07:45G. Sawicki3.25K. Juszczyk1.33—Sep 12 · 17:30G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Sep 12 · 19:10G. Sawicki—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 19:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 21:55G. Sawicki—K. Schaniel——Sep 12 · 22:40G. Sawicki—A. Szurgot——Sep 12 · 23:30G. Sawicki—O. Sokolowski——Sep 13 · 01:10G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——
M. Paszkiewicz
Sep 12 · 05:15M. Paszkiewicz2.38K. Juszczyk1.53—Sep 12 · 07:20M. Paszkiewicz2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 12 · 08:10M. Paszkiewicz2.75A. Cichocki1.40—Sep 12 · 09:00M. Paszkiewicz1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 12 · 10:35M. Paszkiewicz1.57P. Slosarczyk2.25—Sep 12 · 11:25M. Paszkiewicz2.38K. Juszczyk1.53—Sep 12 · 13:30M. Paszkiewicz2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 12 · 14:20M. Paszkiewicz—A. Cichocki——
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