TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115003
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811911117119118
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Sawicki above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oliver Vincenec at 58.6%
96 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 9–10 Oliver Vincenec Grzegorz Sawicki has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vincenec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1241 vs Vincenec 1416
Vincenec
Wrong
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 20% vs Vincenec 40%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 30% vs Vincenec 60%
Vincenec
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -1 · Vincenec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vincenec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 2.10 / Vincenec 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vincenec)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13115003
Sawicki2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 126 of 381
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 252
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 162
Vincenec1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 150 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it88% 66 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it75% 108 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki3wins
AwayVincenec7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki60%3 of 5
AwayVincenec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S2Sawicki5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S3Sawicki3Vincenec7n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S4Sawicki2Vincenec4n = 6Vincenec took 4 of 6
S5Sawicki1Vincenec2n = 3Vincenec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiVincenecS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.0−3.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 894 vs 662 / 145839.6%45.4%354 / 894 vs 662 / 1458Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecSawicki 2.10/Vincenec 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 20 · 05:40G. Sawicki—11610101O. Vincenec—81112123
LJun 1 · 01:10G. Sawicki—91070O. Vincenec—1112113
WMay 31 · 15:10G. Sawicki—115412113O. Vincenec—611111082
LMay 31 · 24:45G. Sawicki—2980O. Vincenec—1111113
LMay 30 · 22:20G. Sawicki—714713132O. Vincenec—11121111153
LMay 30 · 03:35G. Sawicki—21111872O. Vincenec—117811113
WMar 8 · 24:30G. Sawicki—1111113O. Vincenec—7890
LMar 7 · 20:10G. Sawicki—119971O. Vincenec—81111113
LFeb 28 · 20:30G. Sawicki—1011891O. Vincenec—12811113
WFeb 9 · 02:10G. Sawicki—1111123O. Vincenec—54100
G. Sawicki10
LSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981LSep 12 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.6381260K. Schaniel1.441114113WSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102LSep 11 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7511118101S. Krupa1.4081311123LSep 11 · 21:00G. Sawicki3.0013770L. Oracz1.361511113LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112
O. Vincenec10
LSep 12 · 01:25O. Vincenec2.1011791162L. Oracz1.67511117113WSep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67811311102O. Vincenec2.10118116123LSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:20S. Krupa2.10118160O. Vincenec1.671311183LSep 11 · 20:30K. Schaniel1.73117915113O. Vincenec2.00811111372WSep 11 · 19:20O. Vincenec1.8371111123L. Oracz1.831187101WSep 11 · 18:10O. Sokolowski1.91911871O. Vincenec1.8011911113LSep 11 · 16:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.2012119113O. Vincenec1.611081171WSep 11 · 15:25S. Krupa2.10811951O. Vincenec1.6711511113WSep 9 · 14:40O. Vincenec1.911561011113K. Schaniel1.80131112762
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki1 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 04:30G. Sawicki2.50M. Paszkiewicz1.50—Sep 12 · 06:05G. Sawicki3.00Z. Sobkow1.36—Sep 12 · 06:55G. Sawicki3.75P. Slosarczyk1.25—Sep 12 · 07:45G. Sawicki3.25K. Juszczyk1.33—Sep 12 · 17:30G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Sep 12 · 19:10G. Sawicki—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 19:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 21:55G. Sawicki—K. Schaniel——Sep 12 · 22:40G. Sawicki—A. Szurgot——Sep 12 · 23:30G. Sawicki—O. Sokolowski——
O. Vincenec
Nothing scheduled
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