TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114617
Played Sep 12Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141151210––––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Slosarczyk above · Michal Paszkiewicz below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 53 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Michal Paszkiewicz at 64.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 0–9 Michal Paszkiewicz Pawel Slosarczyk has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1300 vs Paszkiewicz 1328
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Paszkiewicz 20%
Slosarczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Paszkiewicz 20%
Slosarczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk +2 · Paszkiewicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.25 / Paszkiewicz 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13114617
Slosarczyk2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 108 of 335
Down 0–1, comes back15% 29 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 120
Paszkiewicz1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk0wins
AwayPaszkiewicz9wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 9–0, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk0%0 of 3
AwayPaszkiewicz100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk3Paszkiewicz6n = 9Paszkiewicz took 6 of 9
S2Slosarczyk2Paszkiewicz7n = 9Paszkiewicz took 7 of 9
S3Slosarczyk5Paszkiewicz4n = 9Slosarczyk took 5 of 9
S4Slosarczyk0Paszkiewicz7n = 7Paszkiewicz took 7 of 7
S5Slosarczyk0Paszkiewicz3n = 3Paszkiewicz took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSlosarczykPaszkiewiczS − PBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match34.743.3−8.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 833 vs 427 / 80138.5%53.3%321 / 833 vs 427 / 801Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczSlosarczyk 2.25/Paszkiewicz 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 23 · 17:55P. Slosarczyk—5811131M. Paszkiewicz—11118153
LDec 30 · 07:00P. Slosarczyk—1011581M. Paszkiewicz—12611113
LNov 16 · 23:25P. Slosarczyk—101111462M. Paszkiewicz—126911113
LNov 12 · 16:55P. Slosarczyk—14511282M. Paszkiewicz—1211911113
LNov 12 · 10:55P. Slosarczyk—114861M. Paszkiewicz—91111113
LNov 3 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk—1761191M. Paszkiewicz—19119113
LSep 8 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk—11611962M. Paszkiewicz—411711113
LSep 7 · 16:00P. Slosarczyk—8940M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
LSep 3 · 05:00P. Slosarczyk—7970M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Sokolowski1.918711111P. Slosarczyk1.8011116133LSep 11 · 11:25M. Baron1.6781115113P. Slosarczyk2.101181371LSep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.3311911113P. Slosarczyk3.25611491WSep 11 · 09:00Z. Sobkow1.50711101172P. Slosarczyk2.50116129113LSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182LSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91911114113P. Slosarczyk1.8011991152WSep 11 · 05:15M. Baron1.6769111142P. Slosarczyk2.10111189113WSep 11 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.50131111452P. Slosarczyk2.501113611113WSep 11 · 03:00O. Jadach1.53116121062P. Slosarczyk2.389111012113
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 9 · 08:20M. Adamus1.8811119113M. Paszkiewicz1.82971181LSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960WSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.00111110113M. Paszkiewicz1.71591261LSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940LSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931WSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113LSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111
Upcoming Matches
P. Slosarczyk
Sep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.50A. Cichocki1.13—Sep 12 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk1.25G. Sawicki3.75—Sep 12 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.50Z. Sobkow1.50—Sep 12 · 09:50P. Slosarczyk5.50A. Cichocki1.13—Sep 12 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk2.25M. Paszkiewicz1.57—Sep 12 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.50Z. Sobkow1.50—Sep 12 · 13:05P. Slosarczyk3.00W. Urban1.36—Sep 12 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk2.63K. Juszczyk1.44—
M. Paszkiewicz
Sep 12 · 04:30M. Paszkiewicz1.50G. Sawicki2.50—Sep 12 · 05:15M. Paszkiewicz2.38K. Juszczyk1.53—Sep 12 · 07:20M. Paszkiewicz2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 12 · 08:10M. Paszkiewicz2.75A. Cichocki1.40—Sep 12 · 09:00M. Paszkiewicz1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 12 · 10:35M. Paszkiewicz1.57P. Slosarczyk2.25—Sep 12 · 11:25M. Paszkiewicz2.38K. Juszczyk1.53—Sep 12 · 13:30M. Paszkiewicz2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 12 · 14:20M. Paszkiewicz—A. Cichocki——
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