TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114992
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012911––––
Grzegorz Sawicki
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Grzegorz Sawicki below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Krzysztof Juszczyk at 66.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 78–22 Grzegorz Sawicki Grzegorz Sawicki has won 22 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Juszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
78-22 in 100
Juszczyk
Wrong
gap of 56 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1431 vs Sawicki 1269
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 60% vs Sawicki 40%
Juszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 60% vs Sawicki 30%
Juszczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk -1 · Sawicki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.33 / Sawicki 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Juszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114992
Juszczyk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 194 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it94% 109 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it79% 154 of 196
Sawicki3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 126 of 376
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 248
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuszczyk8wins
AwaySawicki2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuszczyk85.7%6 of 7
AwaySawicki33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk7Sawicki3n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S2Juszczyk7Sawicki3n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Juszczyk7Sawicki3n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Juszczyk3Sawicki2n = 5Juszczyk took 3 of 5
S5Juszczyk2Sawicki1n = 3Juszczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuszczykSawickiJ − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.731.5+7.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime655 / 1218 vs 357 / 90053.8%39.7%655 / 1218 vs 357 / 900Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.33/Sawicki 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk—71090G. Sawicki—1112113
WSep 6 · 20:00K. Juszczyk—1111113G. Sawicki—8960
WSep 6 · 06:45K. Juszczyk—81111113G. Sawicki—116471
WAug 30 · 03:05K. Juszczyk—1111123G. Sawicki—86100
WAug 29 · 21:05K. Juszczyk—12119113G. Sawicki—1061131
WAug 22 · 08:20K. Juszczyk—1111113G. Sawicki—6760
WJul 4 · 23:55K. Juszczyk—2111110113G. Sawicki—11491262
WJul 4 · 17:55K. Juszczyk—1111711113G. Sawicki—91311742
LJun 29 · 02:00K. Juszczyk—11911772G. Sawicki—511711113
WJun 21 · 24:45K. Juszczyk—1114113G. Sawicki—51290
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20119111082A. Cichocki1.61511812113WSep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk1.53111129113M. Paszkiewicz2.3899111192LSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:25K. Juszczyk1.7381111113Z. Sobkow2.00118881WSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113WSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113LSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113LSep 8 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.831111113K. Juszczyk1.816480WSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113
G. Sawicki10
LSep 12 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk1.2511511113G. Sawicki3.75711691LSep 12 · 06:05G. Sawicki3.00641181Z. Sobkow1.3611114113WSep 12 · 04:30G. Sawicki2.5011118113M. Paszkiewicz1.50971171LSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WSep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10891111113O. Vincenec1.6711117982LSep 12 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.6381260K. Schaniel1.441114113WSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102LSep 11 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7511118101S. Krupa1.4081311123LSep 11 · 21:00G. Sawicki3.0013770L. Oracz1.361511113LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Juszczyk
G. Sawicki1 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 17:30G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Sep 12 · 19:10G. Sawicki—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 19:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 21:55G. Sawicki—K. Schaniel——Sep 12 · 22:40G. Sawicki—A. Szurgot——Sep 12 · 23:30G. Sawicki—O. Sokolowski——Sep 13 · 01:10G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Sep 13 · 01:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Sep 13 · 03:55G. Sawicki—K. Schaniel——Sep 13 · 04:40G. Sawicki—A. Szurgot——
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