TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114954
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119119211911119
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Michal Paszkiewicz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Krzysztof Juszczyk at 65.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 7–2 Michal Paszkiewicz Michal Paszkiewicz has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Juszczyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1458 vs Paszkiewicz 1299
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 60% vs Paszkiewicz 20%
Juszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 70% vs Paszkiewicz 10%
Juszczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk -1 · Paszkiewicz -4
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Juszczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.53 / Paszkiewicz 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Juszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114954
Juszczyk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 194 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it94% 109 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it79% 154 of 196
Paszkiewicz2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJuszczyk7wins
AwayPaszkiewicz2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuszczyk87.5%7 of 8
AwayPaszkiewiczn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk8Paszkiewicz1n = 9Juszczyk took 8 of 9
S2Juszczyk6Paszkiewicz3n = 9Juszczyk took 6 of 9
S3Juszczyk6Paszkiewicz3n = 9Juszczyk took 6 of 9
S4Juszczyk0Paszkiewicz3n = 3Paszkiewicz took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricJuszczykPaszkiewiczJ − PBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match36.030.2+5.8per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime654 / 1215 vs 426 / 80253.8%53.1%654 / 1215 vs 426 / 802Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.53/Paszkiewicz 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WMay 17 · 04:50K. Juszczyk—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—3640
LFeb 22 · 14:10K. Juszczyk—34110M. Paszkiewicz—1111133
LFeb 22 · 06:30K. Juszczyk—1351341M. Paszkiewicz—111115113
WFeb 14 · 24:55K. Juszczyk—1114113M. Paszkiewicz—71240
WNov 22 · 24:05K. Juszczyk—1111310113M. Paszkiewicz—97111232
WSep 14 · 24:20K. Juszczyk—1211113M. Paszkiewicz—10580
WSep 13 · 20:20K. Juszczyk—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—2480
WAug 10 · 02:45K. Juszczyk—119128113M. Paszkiewicz—711101192
WAug 9 · 23:05K. Juszczyk—1113143M. Paszkiewicz—311120
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:25K. Juszczyk1.7381111113Z. Sobkow2.00118881WSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113WSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113LSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113LSep 8 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.831111113K. Juszczyk1.816480WSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113WSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 12 · 04:30G. Sawicki2.5011118113M. Paszkiewicz1.50971171LSep 12 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk2.251111123M. Paszkiewicz1.5745100LSep 9 · 08:20M. Adamus1.8811119113M. Paszkiewicz1.82971181LSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960WSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.00111110113M. Paszkiewicz1.71591261LSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940LSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931
Upcoming Matches
K. Juszczyk1 of 7 neutral
Sep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Sep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.33G. Sawicki3.25—Sep 12 · 09:25K. Juszczyk1.92Z. Sobkow1.72—Sep 12 · 10:10K. Juszczyk1.67W. Urban2.10—Sep 12 · 11:25K. Juszczyk1.53M. Paszkiewicz2.38—Sep 12 · 12:40K. Juszczyk—A. Cichocki——Sep 12 · 13:55K. Juszczyk1.44P. Slosarczyk2.63—
M. Paszkiewicz
Sep 12 · 07:20M. Paszkiewicz2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 12 · 08:10M. Paszkiewicz2.75A. Cichocki1.40—Sep 12 · 09:00M. Paszkiewicz1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 12 · 10:35M. Paszkiewicz1.57P. Slosarczyk2.25—Sep 12 · 11:25M. Paszkiewicz2.38K. Juszczyk1.53—Sep 12 · 13:30M. Paszkiewicz2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 12 · 14:20M. Paszkiewicz—A. Cichocki——
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