TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114993
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1159111181012811
Aleksander Cichocki
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Aleksander Cichocki below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 58.5%
96 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 0–1 Aleksander Cichocki Krzysztof Juszczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1454 vs Cichocki 1518
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 80% vs Cichocki 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 70% vs Cichocki 90%
Cichocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk +1 · Cichocki +4
Cichocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cichocki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 2.20 / Cichocki 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Cichocki)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114993
Juszczyk2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 99 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back28% 33 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Cichocki1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 78 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJuszczyk0wins
AwayCichocki1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderCichocki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJuszczykCichockiJ − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.047.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykCichockiBasisWin rate · lifetime655 / 1217 vs 111 / 17653.8%63.1%655 / 1217 vs 111 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiJuszczyk 2.20/Cichocki 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk—119111082A. Cichocki—511812113
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.3371090G. Sawicki3.251112113WSep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk1.53111129113M. Paszkiewicz2.3899111192LSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:25K. Juszczyk1.7381111113Z. Sobkow2.00118881WSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113WSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113LSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113LSep 8 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.831111113K. Juszczyk1.816480WSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.5044100A. Cichocki1.131111123WSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.531741112113Z. Sobkow2.38151191422WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113WAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.361111113O. Sokolowski3.002890WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980
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