TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114960
Played Sep 12Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4114111012––––
Aleksander Cichocki
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Slosarczyk above · Aleksander Cichocki below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 52 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 85.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 0–2 Aleksander Cichocki Pawel Slosarczyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1333 vs Cichocki 1500
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 80% vs Cichocki 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Cichocki 80%
Cichocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk +4 · Cichocki +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 5.50 / Cichocki 1.13
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114960
Slosarczyk5.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 111 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back14% 28 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Cichocki1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 78 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk0wins
AwayCichocki2wins
Cichocki leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricSlosarczykCichockiS − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match24.033.5−9.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykCichockiBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 835 vs 109 / 17438.7%62.6%323 / 835 vs 109 / 174Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiSlosarczyk 5.50/Cichocki 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 30 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk—10790A. Cichocki—1211113
LAug 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk—5890A. Cichocki—1111113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk2.251111123M. Paszkiewicz1.5745100WSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Sokolowski1.918711111P. Slosarczyk1.8011116133LSep 11 · 11:25M. Baron1.6781115113P. Slosarczyk2.101181371LSep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.3311911113P. Slosarczyk3.25611491WSep 11 · 09:00Z. Sobkow1.50711101172P. Slosarczyk2.50116129113LSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182LSep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91911114113P. Slosarczyk1.8011991152WSep 11 · 05:15M. Baron1.6769111142P. Slosarczyk2.10111189113
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.531741112113Z. Sobkow2.38151191422WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.7381112123J. Wieczerzak2.0011710101WAug 30 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.5011491562A. Cichocki1.467111113113WAug 30 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.2011611113R. Idaczyk4.33611591WAug 30 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.361111113O. Sokolowski3.002890WAug 30 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671111113M. Lach2.109980LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.73149561J. Wieczerzak2.00121111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Slosarczyk
Sep 12 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk1.25G. Sawicki3.75—Sep 12 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.38Z. Sobkow1.53—Sep 12 · 09:50P. Slosarczyk5.50A. Cichocki1.13—Sep 12 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk2.25M. Paszkiewicz1.57—Sep 12 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.50Z. Sobkow1.50—Sep 12 · 13:05P. Slosarczyk3.00W. Urban1.36—Sep 12 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk2.63K. Juszczyk1.44—
A. Cichocki1 of 7 neutral
Sep 12 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.61K. Juszczyk2.20—Sep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.40M. Paszkiewicz2.75—Sep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.13P. Slosarczyk5.50—Sep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.44Z. Sobkow2.63—Sep 12 · 11:50A. Cichocki1.50W. Urban2.50—Sep 12 · 12:40A. Cichocki—K. Juszczyk——Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki—M. Paszkiewicz——
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