TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113060
Played Sep 11Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121141012117811
Pawel Kurek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:23 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
10121141012117811
H2H Sebastian Szostok 16–6 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Szostok beat Kurek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-6 in 22
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1491 vs Kurek 1369
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 60% vs Kurek 40%
Szostok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 50% vs Kurek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +3 · Kurek +1
Szostok
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.60 / Kurek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Szostok)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13113060
Szostok1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 333 of 521
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it78% 214 of 273
Kurek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 122 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok7wins
AwayKurek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok85.7%6 of 7
AwayKurek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok7Kurek3n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S2Szostok9Kurek1n = 10Szostok took 9 of 10
S3Szostok7Kurek3n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S4Szostok2Kurek3n = 5Kurek took 3 of 5
S5Szostok2Kurek3n = 5Kurek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokKurekS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.034.2+5.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime931 / 1576 vs 398 / 79459.1%50.1%931 / 1576 vs 398 / 794Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.60/Kurek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.2%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok331111113P. Kurek218670
WAug 14 · 22:10S. Szostok54911914113P. Kurek46115111272
WAug 14 · 19:40S. Szostok341211113P. Kurek2710890
WAug 9 · 08:45S. Szostok331111113P. Kurek239770
WJul 24 · 09:25S. Szostok331111113P. Kurek196670
WJul 24 · 03:25S. Szostok50111198113P. Kurek4378111162
LJul 15 · 11:00S. Szostok4151111682P. Kurek43115511113
LJul 15 · 04:55S. Szostok4579111172P. Kurek46111158113
WJun 30 · 21:00S. Szostok331111113P. Kurek248880
LJun 15 · 11:25S. Szostok44111110662P. Kurek50791211113
S. Szostok10
LSep 11 · 16:20J. Pruszkowski1.74671111113S. Szostok1.9511115772WSep 11 · 15:30R. Skotniczny1.85711110S. Szostok1.801113133WSep 11 · 13:10S. Szostok1.851111113G. Wichowski1.809770WSep 11 · 12:20P. Mecik2.7510911111S. Szostok1.3612115133WSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670LSep 11 · 09:30S. Szostok1.866101131R. Skotniczny1.8011124113LSep 11 · 08:20S. Szostok1.38711111152P. Mecik2.65119139113LSep 11 · 06:45S. Szostok1.87129111272J. Pruszkowski1.831411710113WSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok1.90911911113G. Wichowski1.8011911582WSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173
P. Kurek10
LSep 11 · 17:05R. Skotniczny1.601111113P. Kurek2.109970WSep 11 · 15:55P. Kurek2.2511115113G. Wichowski1.54851141WSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113LSep 11 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski1.65111149113P. Kurek2.1095111192LSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670WSep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.05211119143G. Wichowski1.70118511122LSep 11 · 08:45R. Skotniczny1.6091111113P. Kurek2.10117891WSep 11 · 07:30P. Mecik2.1511361192P. Kurek1.60711118113LSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski1.55111015113P. Kurek2.308121361WSep 10 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.10115921P. Kurek1.6761111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Szostok
Sep 13 · 03:50S. Szostok1.67M. Lach2.10—Sep 13 · 04:30S. Szostok1.83J. Wieczerzak1.83—Sep 13 · 06:05S. Szostok1.83W. Wojtaszczyk1.83—Sep 13 · 06:55S. Szostok1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 13 · 07:45S. Szostok2.38A. Cichocki1.53—Sep 13 · 09:00S. Szostok1.83J. Wieczerzak1.83—Sep 13 · 10:10S. Szostok2.38A. Cichocki1.53—Sep 13 · 11:50S. Szostok1.67M. Lach2.10—Sep 13 · 13:05S. Szostok1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 13 · 14:40S. Szostok1.83W. Wojtaszczyk1.83—
P. Kurek
Nothing scheduled
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