TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112759
Played Sep 11Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117117––––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:35 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
119117117––––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 11–7 Grzegorz Wichowski Grzegorz Wichowski has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Szostok
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1480 vs Wichowski 1376
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 40% vs Wichowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 50% vs Wichowski 30%
Szostok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +2 · Wichowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wichowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.85 / Wichowski 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szostok)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13112759
Szostok1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 86 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back30% 29 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Wichowski1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 252 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it98% 125 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it84% 189 of 226
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok7wins
AwayWichowski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok71.4%5 of 7
AwayWichowski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok7Wichowski3n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S2Szostok7Wichowski3n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S3Szostok5Wichowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Szostok6Wichowski3n = 9Szostok took 6 of 9
S5Szostok1Wichowski2n = 3Wichowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokWichowskiS − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.438.0+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime930 / 1577 vs 567 / 92759%61.2%930 / 1577 vs 567 / 927Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.85/Wichowski 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok—911911113G. Wichowski—11911582
WSep 7 · 14:45S. Szostok—111111113G. Wichowski—791391
WSep 7 · 11:05S. Szostok—1111113G. Wichowski—6990
WSep 4 · 13:55S. Szostok—11118113G. Wichowski—791121
WSep 4 · 07:55S. Szostok—12511113G. Wichowski—1011781
LJun 1 · 13:10S. Szostok—1161051G. Wichowski—81112113
WJun 1 · 05:30S. Szostok—11136113G. Wichowski—6111171
WMay 8 · 11:05S. Szostok—101211113G. Wichowski—1210951
LMar 16 · 10:30S. Szostok—11912762G. Wichowski—7111011113
LNov 28 · 14:10S. Szostok—101111662G. Wichowski—127511113
S. Szostok10
WSep 11 · 12:20P. Mecik2.7510911111S. Szostok1.3612115133WSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670LSep 11 · 09:30S. Szostok1.866101131R. Skotniczny1.8011124113LSep 11 · 08:20S. Szostok1.38711111152P. Mecik2.65119139113LSep 11 · 06:45S. Szostok1.87129111272J. Pruszkowski1.831411710113WSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok1.90911911113G. Wichowski1.8011911582WSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:45S. Szostok1.78811671J. Pruszkowski1.9111811113WSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.531051111113W. Buczynski2.3612119472
G. Wichowski10
WSep 11 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.8011119992G. Wichowski1.86961111113WSep 11 · 11:30R. Skotniczny1.921110101182G. Wichowski1.72912127113WSep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik2.90113951G. Wichowski1.3271111113LSep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.05211119143G. Wichowski1.70118511122LSep 11 · 07:55J. Pruszkowski1.801111123G. Wichowski1.8697100LSep 11 · 07:10R. Skotniczny1.921111113G. Wichowski1.727660LSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok1.90911911113G. Wichowski1.8011911582LSep 7 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.901112113G. Wichowski1.3471040LSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik4.1013116113G. Wichowski1.181191191LSep 7 · 14:45G. Wichowski1.75791391S. Szostok1.95111111113
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