TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13111746
Played Sep 11Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111191113119511
Patryk Mecik
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:25 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
7111191113119511
H2H Sebastian Szostok 16–12 Patryk Mecik Patryk Mecik has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:25What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-12 in 28
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1493 vs Mecik 1263
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 230 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 40% vs Mecik 20%
Szostok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 60% vs Mecik 40%
Szostok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok -1 · Mecik -3
Mecik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mecik form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.38 / Mecik 2.65
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Szostok)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13111746
Szostok1.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 333 of 521
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it78% 214 of 273
Mecik2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 104 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok6wins
AwayMecik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok100%3 of 3
AwayMecik57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok3Mecik7n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S2Szostok9Mecik1n = 10Szostok took 9 of 10
S3Szostok4Mecik6n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S4Szostok2Mecik5n = 7Mecik took 5 of 7
S5Szostok3Mecik0n = 3Szostok took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokMecikS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.838.2+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime931 / 1576 vs 324 / 81159.1%40%931 / 1576 vs 324 / 811Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.38/Mecik 2.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 17:05S. Szostok—911125113P. Mecik—115101192
LSep 7 · 08:45S. Szostok—811891P. Mecik—11811113
LJul 14 · 14:40S. Szostok—1016561P. Mecik—121411113
WJun 30 · 19:20S. Szostok—91111113P. Mecik—114471
LApr 3 · 08:45S. Szostok—61090P. Mecik—1112113
WMar 16 · 07:20S. Szostok—111197113P. Mecik—79111172
WDec 19 · 14:10S. Szostok—1112113P. Mecik—71060
LDec 19 · 06:30S. Szostok—411791P. Mecik—11511113
WDec 3 · 13:45S. Szostok—1111133P. Mecik—69110
WDec 3 · 11:20S. Szostok—10141511113P. Mecik—121217592
S. Szostok10
LSep 11 · 06:45S. Szostok1.87129111272J. Pruszkowski1.831411710113WSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok1.90911911113G. Wichowski1.8011911582WSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:45S. Szostok1.78811671J. Pruszkowski1.9111811113WSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.531051111113W. Buczynski2.3612119472LSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171WSep 8 · 11:05S. Szostok1.85711117113J. Pruszkowski1.8011871172WSep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.4713127113M. Baron2.3911101191WSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171
P. Mecik10
LSep 11 · 07:30P. Mecik2.1511361192P. Kurek1.60711118113LSep 11 · 06:20P. Mecik2.75711911R. Skotniczny1.3611711113LSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik4.1013116113G. Wichowski1.181191191LSep 7 · 14:20P. Mecik3.30711581R. Skotniczny1.2711811113LSep 7 · 12:45P. Mecik2.401111871Y. Fomin1.5013511113WSep 7 · 11:30P. Mecik1.9571111113W. Tobiasz1.75115851WSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891
Upcoming Matches
S. Szostok
Sep 11 · 09:30S. Szostok1.86R. Skotniczny1.80—Sep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.60P. Kurek2.10—Sep 11 · 12:20S. Szostok1.36P. Mecik2.75—Sep 11 · 13:10S. Szostok1.92G. Wichowski1.72—Sep 11 · 14:45S. Szostok1.59P. Kurek2.12—Sep 11 · 15:30S. Szostok1.79R. Skotniczny1.85—Sep 11 · 16:20S. Szostok1.93J. Pruszkowski1.71—
P. Mecik
Sep 11 · 09:05P. Mecik2.90J. Pruszkowski1.32—Sep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik2.90G. Wichowski1.32—Sep 11 · 12:20P. Mecik2.75S. Szostok1.36—Sep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.26P. Kurek1.52—Sep 11 · 14:20P. Mecik2.65R. Skotniczny1.38—Sep 11 · 15:05P. Mecik2.90J. Pruszkowski1.32—Sep 11 · 16:40P. Mecik2.90G. Wichowski1.32—
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