TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13111753
Played Sep 11Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117311611118911
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
117311611118911
H2H Patryk Mecik 1–2 Pawel Kurek Patryk Mecik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Kurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1271 vs Kurek 1361
Kurek
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 20% vs Kurek 40%
Kurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 40% vs Kurek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -2 · Kurek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.15 / Kurek 1.60
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kurek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13111753
Mecik2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 104 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Kurek1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 212 of 319
Up 2–0, closes it94% 101 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it84% 148 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMecik1wins
AwayKurek2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderKurek leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik2Kurek1n = 3Mecik took 2 of 3
S2Mecik2Kurek1n = 3Mecik took 2 of 3
S3Mecik1Kurek2n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
S4Mecik2Kurek1n = 3Mecik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMecikKurekM − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.348.7−5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 810 vs 395 / 78840%50.1%324 / 810 vs 395 / 788Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekMecik 2.15/Kurek 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 21 · 09:00P. Mecik—15115782P. Kurek—1391111113
WDec 26 · 17:40P. Mecik—13611113P. Kurek—1111891
LDec 26 · 11:40P. Mecik—511511112P. Kurek—119118133
P. Mecik10
WSep 11 · 08:20S. Szostok1.38711111152P. Mecik2.65119139113LSep 11 · 06:20P. Mecik2.75711911R. Skotniczny1.3611711113LSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik4.1013116113G. Wichowski1.181191191LSep 7 · 14:20P. Mecik3.30711581R. Skotniczny1.2711811113LSep 7 · 12:45P. Mecik2.401111871Y. Fomin1.5013511113WSep 7 · 11:30P. Mecik1.9571111113W. Tobiasz1.75115851WSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891
P. Kurek10
LSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski1.55111015113P. Kurek2.308121361WSep 10 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.10115921P. Kurek1.6761111113LSep 10 · 13:05L. Oracz1.5041111113P. Kurek2.50114391WSep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.731511113W. Urban2.0013960LSep 10 · 10:35P. Kurek2.757590K. Slawinski1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:50M. Sikon2.63116461P. Kurek1.4451111113LSep 10 · 08:35P. Kurek1.80913891W. Urban1.91111111113WSep 10 · 06:55P. Kurek2.3861111113L. Oracz1.53116731WSep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44981111113M. Sikon2.6311119882LSep 10 · 04:00P. Kurek1.537860R. Idaczyk2.381111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Mecik
Sep 11 · 09:05P. Mecik2.90J. Pruszkowski1.32—Sep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik2.90G. Wichowski1.32—Sep 11 · 12:20P. Mecik2.75S. Szostok1.36—Sep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.26P. Kurek1.52—Sep 11 · 14:20P. Mecik2.65R. Skotniczny1.38—Sep 11 · 15:05P. Mecik2.90J. Pruszkowski1.32—Sep 11 · 16:40P. Mecik2.90G. Wichowski1.32—
P. Kurek
Sep 11 · 08:45P. Kurek2.10R. Skotniczny1.60—Sep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.31G. Wichowski1.50—Sep 11 · 11:05P. Kurek2.10S. Szostok1.60—Sep 11 · 11:55P. Kurek2.32J. Pruszkowski1.50—Sep 11 · 13:30P. Kurek1.52P. Mecik2.26—Sep 11 · 14:45P. Kurek2.12S. Szostok1.59—Sep 11 · 15:55P. Kurek2.31G. Wichowski1.50—Sep 11 · 17:05P. Kurek2.12R. Skotniczny1.59—
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