TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112401
Played Sep 11Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10129111151113––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:33 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
10129111151113––
H2H Patryk Mecik 13–16 Sebastian Szostok Patryk Mecik has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Mecik beat Szostok 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-16 in 29
Szostok
Correct
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1266 vs Szostok 1474
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 20% vs Szostok 40%
Szostok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 30% vs Szostok 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -2 · Szostok +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.75 / Szostok 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Szostok)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13112401
Mecik2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 104 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Szostok1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite64% won 333 of 521
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it78% 214 of 273
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik5wins
AwaySzostok5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik71.4%5 of 7
AwaySzostok100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik7Szostok3n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S2Mecik1Szostok9n = 10Szostok took 9 of 10
S3Mecik6Szostok4n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S4Mecik5Szostok2n = 7Mecik took 5 of 7
S5Mecik1Szostok2n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikSzostokM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.2−0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 814 vs 929 / 157639.9%59%325 / 814 vs 929 / 1576Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.040.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokMecik 2.75/Szostok 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 08:20P. Mecik—119139113S. Szostok—711111152
LSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik—115101192S. Szostok—911125113
WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik—11811113S. Szostok—811891
WJul 14 · 14:40P. Mecik—121411113S. Szostok—1016561
LJun 30 · 19:20P. Mecik—114471S. Szostok—91111113
WApr 3 · 08:45P. Mecik—1112113S. Szostok—61090
LMar 16 · 07:20P. Mecik—79111172S. Szostok—111197113
LDec 19 · 14:10P. Mecik—71060S. Szostok—1112113
WDec 19 · 06:30P. Mecik—11511113S. Szostok—411791
LDec 3 · 13:45P. Mecik—69110S. Szostok—1111133
P. Mecik10
LSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113LSep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik2.90113951G. Wichowski1.3271111113LSep 11 · 09:05J. Pruszkowski1.35911911113P. Mecik2.9011811762WSep 11 · 08:20S. Szostok1.38711111152P. Mecik2.65119139113LSep 11 · 07:30P. Mecik2.1511361192P. Kurek1.60711118113LSep 11 · 06:20P. Mecik2.75711911R. Skotniczny1.3611711113LSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik4.1013116113G. Wichowski1.181191191LSep 7 · 14:20P. Mecik3.30711581R. Skotniczny1.2711811113LSep 7 · 12:45P. Mecik2.401111871Y. Fomin1.5013511113
S. Szostok10
WSep 11 · 13:10S. Szostok1.851111113G. Wichowski1.809770WSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670LSep 11 · 09:30S. Szostok1.866101131R. Skotniczny1.8011124113LSep 11 · 08:20S. Szostok1.38711111152P. Mecik2.65119139113LSep 11 · 06:45S. Szostok1.87129111272J. Pruszkowski1.831411710113WSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok1.90911911113G. Wichowski1.8011911582WSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:45S. Szostok1.78811671J. Pruszkowski1.9111811113WSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.