TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112016
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119115411911119
Pawel Kurek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
119115411911119
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 12–3 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-3 in 15
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1500 vs Kurek 1355
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 100% vs Kurek 40%
Pruszkowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 90% vs Kurek 50%
Pruszkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +5 · Kurek -1
Pruszkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.65 / Kurek 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13112016
Pruszkowski1.65
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 467 of 719
Up 2–0, closes it96% 243 of 254
Up 1–0, closes it83% 361 of 434
Kurek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 122 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski8wins
AwayKurek2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski87.5%7 of 8
AwayKurekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski8Kurek2n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S2Pruszkowski5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pruszkowski9Kurek1n = 10Pruszkowski took 9 of 10
S4Pruszkowski3Kurek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiKurekP − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.133.5+4.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime1128 / 1783 vs 397 / 79263.3%50.1%1128 / 1783 vs 397 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.65/Kurek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski—111015113P. Kurek—8121361
LSep 4 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski—591171P. Kurek—11118113
WSep 4 · 07:20J. Pruszkowski—1111113P. Kurek—9790
WAug 20 · 11:50J. Pruszkowski—71111113P. Kurek—119941
WAug 20 · 03:50J. Pruszkowski—154142113P. Kurek—1311121162
WAug 4 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski—11911123P. Kurek—9118101
WAug 3 · 17:30J. Pruszkowski—1111123P. Kurek—65100
LAug 3 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski—1198121P. Kurek—71111143
WAug 2 · 17:30J. Pruszkowski—1111113P. Kurek—7860
WJul 10 · 02:45J. Pruszkowski—1111113P. Kurek—5970
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 11 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.8011119992G. Wichowski1.86961111113WSep 11 · 12:45R. Skotniczny1.8011311612J. Pruszkowski1.85811911113WSep 11 · 10:20J. Pruszkowski1.95513911133R. Skotniczny1.771111117112WSep 11 · 09:05J. Pruszkowski1.35911911113P. Mecik2.9011811762WSep 11 · 07:55J. Pruszkowski1.801111123G. Wichowski1.8697100WSep 11 · 06:45S. Szostok1.87129111272J. Pruszkowski1.831411710113WSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski1.55111015113P. Kurek2.308121361WSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113WSep 8 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.401111113W. Buczynski2.758950WSep 8 · 14:45S. Szostok1.78811671J. Pruszkowski1.9111811113
P. Kurek10
WSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113LSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670WSep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.05211119143G. Wichowski1.70118511122LSep 11 · 08:45R. Skotniczny1.6091111113P. Kurek2.10117891WSep 11 · 07:30P. Mecik2.1511361192P. Kurek1.60711118113LSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski1.55111015113P. Kurek2.308121361WSep 10 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.10115921P. Kurek1.6761111113LSep 10 · 13:05L. Oracz1.5041111113P. Kurek2.50114391WSep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.731511113W. Urban2.0013960LSep 10 · 10:35P. Kurek2.757590K. Slawinski1.401111113
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