TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113304
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611711115117117
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
611711115117117
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 32–48 Sebastian Szostok Jakub Pruszkowski has won 32 of their 80 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Pruszkowski beat Szostok 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-48 in 80
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 16 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1506 vs Szostok 1476
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Szostok 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 90% vs Szostok 50%
Pruszkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +1 · Szostok -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.74 / Szostok 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13113304
Pruszkowski1.74
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 467 of 719
Up 2–0, closes it96% 243 of 254
Up 1–0, closes it83% 361 of 434
Szostok1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 86 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back30% 29 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski5wins
AwaySzostok5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski57.1%4 of 7
AwaySzostok66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski7Szostok3n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S2Pruszkowski4Szostok6n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S3Pruszkowski3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S4Pruszkowski7Szostok2n = 9Pruszkowski took 7 of 9
S5Pruszkowski2Szostok4n = 6Szostok took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiSzostokP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.443.3−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime1131 / 1787 vs 930 / 157663.3%59%1131 / 1787 vs 930 / 1576Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.74/Szostok 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:45J. Pruszkowski—1411710113S. Szostok—129111272
WSep 8 · 14:45J. Pruszkowski—11811113S. Szostok—811671
LSep 8 · 11:05J. Pruszkowski—11871172S. Szostok—711117113
LAug 19 · 02:35J. Pruszkowski—11771232S. Szostok—8111110113
LAug 18 · 19:20J. Pruszkowski—6860S. Szostok—1111113
WAug 13 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski—118514113S. Szostok—411111272
LAug 13 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski—11511662S. Szostok—811411113
LAug 12 · 02:10J. Pruszkowski—41191142S. Szostok—118118113
WAug 11 · 20:05J. Pruszkowski—81111123S. Szostok—1189101
WJul 22 · 01:45J. Pruszkowski—11167133S. Szostok—61411111
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 11 · 15:05J. Pruszkowski1.32711311123P. Mecik2.90114116102LSep 11 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.8011119992G. Wichowski1.86961111113WSep 11 · 12:45R. Skotniczny1.8011311612J. Pruszkowski1.85811911113WSep 11 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski1.65111149113P. Kurek2.1095111192WSep 11 · 10:20J. Pruszkowski1.95513911133R. Skotniczny1.771111117112WSep 11 · 09:05J. Pruszkowski1.35911911113P. Mecik2.9011811762WSep 11 · 07:55J. Pruszkowski1.801111123G. Wichowski1.8697100WSep 11 · 06:45S. Szostok1.87129111272J. Pruszkowski1.831411710113WSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski1.55111015113P. Kurek2.308121361WSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113
S. Szostok10
LSep 11 · 14:45S. Szostok1.601011101182P. Kurek2.10124127113WSep 11 · 13:10S. Szostok1.851111113G. Wichowski1.809770WSep 11 · 12:20P. Mecik2.7510911111S. Szostok1.3612115133WSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670LSep 11 · 09:30S. Szostok1.866101131R. Skotniczny1.8011124113LSep 11 · 08:20S. Szostok1.38711111152P. Mecik2.65119139113LSep 11 · 06:45S. Szostok1.87129111272J. Pruszkowski1.831411710113WSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok1.90911911113G. Wichowski1.8011911582WSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241
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