TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113059
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.32
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111143111161210
Patryk Mecik
Away
2.90
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:23 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
7111143111161210
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 27–9 Patryk Mecik Patryk Mecik has won 9 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Pruszkowski beat Mecik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:23What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-9 in 36
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 18 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1501 vs Mecik 1238
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 263 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Mecik 20%
Pruszkowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 90% vs Mecik 20%
Pruszkowski
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski -1 · Mecik -4
Mecik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mecik form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.32 / Mecik 2.90
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13113059
Pruszkowski1.32
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 467 of 719
Up 2–0, closes it96% 243 of 254
Up 1–0, closes it83% 361 of 434
Mecik2.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 104 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski7wins
AwayMecik3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski100%5 of 5
AwayMecik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski5Mecik5n = 10split evenly
S2Pruszkowski7Mecik3n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S3Pruszkowski5Mecik5n = 10split evenly
S4Pruszkowski3Mecik2n = 5Pruszkowski took 3 of 5
S5Pruszkowski3Mecik1n = 4Pruszkowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiMecikP − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.439.0+4.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime1130 / 1786 vs 325 / 81663.3%39.8%1130 / 1786 vs 325 / 816Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.32/Mecik 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 09:05J. Pruszkowski—911911113P. Mecik—11811762
WJul 14 · 11:50J. Pruszkowski—914149113P. Mecik—1112121192
LJun 26 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski—811911142P. Mecik—116117163
WJun 26 · 06:20J. Pruszkowski—1111113P. Mecik—4720
LMay 6 · 07:25J. Pruszkowski—6980P. Mecik—1111113
WDec 26 · 15:20J. Pruszkowski—11111110113P. Mecik—99131272
WDec 26 · 07:20J. Pruszkowski—1112163P. Mecik—710140
WOct 27 · 14:30J. Pruszkowski—181211113P. Mecik—1614981
WOct 27 · 08:30J. Pruszkowski—1111143P. Mecik—58120
LOct 13 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski—151290P. Mecik—1714113
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 11 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.8011119992G. Wichowski1.86961111113WSep 11 · 12:45R. Skotniczny1.8011311612J. Pruszkowski1.85811911113WSep 11 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski1.65111149113P. Kurek2.1095111192WSep 11 · 10:20J. Pruszkowski1.95513911133R. Skotniczny1.771111117112WSep 11 · 09:05J. Pruszkowski1.35911911113P. Mecik2.9011811762WSep 11 · 07:55J. Pruszkowski1.801111123G. Wichowski1.8697100WSep 11 · 06:45S. Szostok1.87129111272J. Pruszkowski1.831411710113WSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski1.55111015113P. Kurek2.308121361WSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113WSep 8 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.401111113W. Buczynski2.758950
P. Mecik10
LSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113LSep 11 · 12:20P. Mecik2.7510911111S. Szostok1.3612115133LSep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik2.90113951G. Wichowski1.3271111113LSep 11 · 09:05J. Pruszkowski1.35911911113P. Mecik2.9011811762WSep 11 · 08:20S. Szostok1.38711111152P. Mecik2.65119139113LSep 11 · 07:30P. Mecik2.1511361192P. Kurek1.60711118113LSep 11 · 06:20P. Mecik2.75711911R. Skotniczny1.3611711113LSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik4.1013116113G. Wichowski1.181191191LSep 7 · 14:20P. Mecik3.30711581R. Skotniczny1.2711811113
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