TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113309
Played Sep 11Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115511114––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:45 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
118115511114––
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kurek beat Wichowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:45What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1383 vs Wichowski 1382
Kurek
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 60% vs Wichowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 50% vs Wichowski 30%
Kurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +2 · Wichowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.25 / Wichowski 1.54
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Wichowski)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13113309
Kurek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 122 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 103
Wichowski1.54
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 252 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it98% 125 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it84% 189 of 226
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 795 vs 568 / 92950.2%61.1%399 / 795 vs 568 / 929Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
WichowskiKurek 2.25/Wichowski 1.54
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.2%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurek won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Kurek10
WSep 11 · 14:45S. Szostok1.601011101182P. Kurek2.10124127113WSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113LSep 11 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski1.65111149113P. Kurek2.1095111192LSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670WSep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.05211119143G. Wichowski1.70118511122LSep 11 · 08:45R. Skotniczny1.6091111113P. Kurek2.10117891WSep 11 · 07:30P. Mecik2.1511361192P. Kurek1.60711118113LSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski1.55111015113P. Kurek2.308121361WSep 10 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.10115921P. Kurek1.6761111113LSep 10 · 13:05L. Oracz1.5041111113P. Kurek2.50114391
G. Wichowski10
WSep 11 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.8011119992G. Wichowski1.86961111113LSep 11 · 13:10S. Szostok1.851111113G. Wichowski1.809770WSep 11 · 11:30R. Skotniczny1.921110101182G. Wichowski1.72912127113WSep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik2.90113951G. Wichowski1.3271111113LSep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.05211119143G. Wichowski1.70118511122LSep 11 · 07:55J. Pruszkowski1.801111123G. Wichowski1.8697100LSep 11 · 07:10R. Skotniczny1.921111113G. Wichowski1.727660LSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok1.90911911113G. Wichowski1.8011911582LSep 7 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.901112113G. Wichowski1.3471040LSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik4.1013116113G. Wichowski1.181191191
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