TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114919
Played Sep 12Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111198111181012
Aleksander Cichocki
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWojciech Urban above · Aleksander Cichocki below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 65.3%
99 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Urban 1427 vs Cichocki 1500
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 60% vs Cichocki 80%
Cichocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 40% vs Cichocki 80%
Cichocki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -1 · Cichocki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.75 / Cichocki 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114919
Urban2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 230 of 565
Down 0–1, comes back20% 61 of 312
Down 0–2, comes back6% 12 of 190
Cichocki1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 78 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanCichockiBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1594 vs 113 / 17947.2%63.1%753 / 1594 vs 113 / 179Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiUrban 2.75/Cichocki 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cichocki won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
W. Urban10
WSep 12 · 13:05W. Urban1.361111113P. Slosarczyk3.007670LSep 12 · 10:10W. Urban2.1071190K. Juszczyk1.671113113WSep 12 · 09:00W. Urban1.8011611113M. Paszkiewicz1.91511991WSep 10 · 14:40L. Oracz1.738990W. Urban2.001111113WSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63811811123K. Slawinski1.44117116102LSep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.731511113W. Urban2.0013960LSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.831111113W. Urban1.834970WSep 10 · 08:35P. Kurek1.80913891W. Urban1.91111111113LSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63811461K. Slawinski1.4411611113
A. Cichocki10
LSep 12 · 12:40K. Juszczyk2.501111411113A. Cichocki1.5091311882LSep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.44510111382Z. Sobkow2.631112511113WSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890WSep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.4011159113M. Paszkiewicz2.757131181WSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20119111082A. Cichocki1.61511812113WSep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.5044100A. Cichocki1.131111123WSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.531741112113Z. Sobkow2.38151191422WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113
Upcoming Matches
W. Urban
A. Cichocki
Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki1.33M. Paszkiewicz3.25—Sep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.53W. Wojtaszczyk2.38—Sep 13 · 04:10A. Cichocki1.44Z. Sobkow2.63—Sep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.67J. Wieczerzak2.10—Sep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.53M. Lach2.38—Sep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.53S. Szostok2.38—Sep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.57W. Wojtaszczyk2.25—Sep 13 · 10:10A. Cichocki1.53S. Szostok2.38—Sep 13 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.61J. Wieczerzak2.20—
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