TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114929
Played Sep 12Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113911––––
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:45 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWojciech Urban above · Krzysztof Juszczyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Krzysztof Juszczyk at 57.4%
62 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Urban 5–16 Krzysztof Juszczyk Wojciech Urban has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:45What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Juszczyk
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1452 vs Juszczyk 1448
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 60% vs Juszczyk 40%
Urban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 50% vs Juszczyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban +3 · Juszczyk +1
Urban
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Juszczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.10 / Juszczyk 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Juszczyk)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13114929
Urban2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 230 of 565
Down 0–1, comes back20% 61 of 312
Down 0–2, comes back6% 12 of 190
Juszczyk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 194 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it94% 109 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it79% 154 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban2wins
AwayJuszczyk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban25%1 of 4
AwayJuszczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban4Juszczyk6n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S2Urban3Juszczyk7n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Urban3Juszczyk7n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Urban1Juszczyk4n = 5Juszczyk took 4 of 5
S5Urban1Juszczyk2n = 3Juszczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanJuszczykU − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.939.2−5.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1593 vs 656 / 121947.3%53.8%753 / 1593 vs 656 / 1219Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykUrban 2.10/Juszczyk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 03:10W. Urban291131051K. Juszczyk4171112113
LJul 31 · 21:00W. Urban237790K. Juszczyk331111113
WJul 31 · 16:35W. Urban52814127113K. Juszczyk471112101132
WJul 30 · 09:50W. Urban331111113K. Juszczyk175930
LJul 15 · 16:50W. Urban3115790K. Juszczyk391711113
LJul 11 · 06:00W. Urban238780K. Juszczyk331111113
LJul 8 · 16:50W. Urban31811661K. Juszczyk4111811113
LJun 24 · 15:10W. Urban4112411682K. Juszczyk521011911113
LJun 23 · 18:55W. Urban511111101272K. Juszczyk559131210113
LJun 4 · 04:25W. Urban2578100K. Juszczyk341111123
W. Urban10
WSep 12 · 14:40W. Urban1.801112117113Z. Sobkow1.9161461182WSep 12 · 13:05W. Urban1.361111113P. Slosarczyk3.007670LSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123WSep 12 · 09:00W. Urban1.8011611113M. Paszkiewicz1.91511991WSep 10 · 14:40L. Oracz1.738990W. Urban2.001111113WSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63811811123K. Slawinski1.44117116102LSep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.731511113W. Urban2.0013960LSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.831111113W. Urban1.834970WSep 10 · 08:35P. Kurek1.80913891W. Urban1.91111111113
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 07:35I. Szymanski3.856780K. Juszczyk1.191111113WSep 13 · 05:35T. Lojtek2.855670K. Juszczyk1.351111113LSep 13 · 04:50P. Zemla1.6181211123K. Juszczyk2.0911107101WSep 13 · 03:10W. Pytlas1.858660K. Juszczyk1.801111113WSep 12 · 13:55K. Juszczyk1.4411115113P. Slosarczyk2.63891191WSep 12 · 12:40K. Juszczyk2.501111411113A. Cichocki1.5091311882LSep 12 · 11:25K. Juszczyk1.44312931M. Paszkiewicz2.63111011113WSep 12 · 09:25K. Juszczyk1.9210111113123Z. Sobkow1.721261311102LSep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.3371090G. Sawicki3.251112113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.