TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115318
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119511119––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:05 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Pawel Slosarczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-6
Point 50 set 3, 5-6 — our read held Krzysztof Juszczyk at 68.9%
50 points drawn · the score is 25 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 28–11 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 11 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-11 in 39
Juszczyk
Correct
gap of 17 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1435 vs Slosarczyk 1310
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 60% vs Slosarczyk 20%
Juszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 60% vs Slosarczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk +1 · Slosarczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Juszczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.44 / Slosarczyk 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Juszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13115318
Juszczyk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 194 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it94% 109 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it79% 154 of 196
Slosarczyk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 111 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back14% 28 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuszczyk7wins
AwaySlosarczyk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuszczyk80%4 of 5
AwaySlosarczyk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk5Slosarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Juszczyk7Slosarczyk3n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Juszczyk6Slosarczyk4n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Juszczyk2Slosarczyk3n = 5Slosarczyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuszczykSlosarczykJ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.031.9+4.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 1222 vs 325 / 84253.9%38.6%658 / 1222 vs 325 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.44/Slosarczyk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 04:10K. Juszczyk31117671P. Slosarczyk4291111113
LSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk229580P. Slosarczyk331111113
WSep 5 · 07:30K. Juszczyk331111113P. Slosarczyk228770
LAug 8 · 05:10K. Juszczyk218940P. Slosarczyk331111113
WAug 6 · 20:20K. Juszczyk4181111113P. Slosarczyk33119581
WJul 30 · 19:35K. Juszczyk361111143P. Slosarczyk1815120
WJul 27 · 13:30K. Juszczyk371111153P. Slosarczyk2759130
WJul 27 · 07:20K. Juszczyk49811118113P. Slosarczyk4411771182
WJun 19 · 16:15K. Juszczyk4291111113P. Slosarczyk25116351
WJun 16 · 19:20K. Juszczyk48111168123P. Slosarczyk42821111102
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 12 · 12:40K. Juszczyk2.501111411113A. Cichocki1.5091311882LSep 12 · 11:25K. Juszczyk1.44312931M. Paszkiewicz2.63111011113WSep 12 · 10:10W. Urban2.1071190K. Juszczyk1.671113113WSep 12 · 09:25K. Juszczyk1.9210111113123Z. Sobkow1.721261311102LSep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.3371090G. Sawicki3.251112113LSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20119111082A. Cichocki1.61511812113WSep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk1.53111129113M. Paszkiewicz2.3899111192LSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:25K. Juszczyk1.7381111113Z. Sobkow2.00118881WSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 12 · 13:05W. Urban1.361111113P. Slosarczyk3.007670WSep 12 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.0081111113Z. Sobkow1.73117391LSep 12 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk2.251114691M. Paszkiewicz1.57131211113LSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890LSep 12 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.3841191562Z. Sobkow1.531151113113WSep 12 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk1.2511511113G. Sawicki3.75711691LSep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.5044100A. Cichocki1.131111123WSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk2.251111123M. Paszkiewicz1.5745100WSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Juszczyk1 of 2 neutral
P. Slosarczyk
Nothing scheduled
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