TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114880
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111210911311––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Michal Paszkiewicz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 70 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Krzysztof Juszczyk at 65.2%
70 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 8–2 Michal Paszkiewicz Michal Paszkiewicz has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Juszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Juszczyk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1474 vs Paszkiewicz 1298
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 60% vs Paszkiewicz 40%
Juszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 60% vs Paszkiewicz 30%
Juszczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk +2 · Paszkiewicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.44 / Paszkiewicz 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Juszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114880
Juszczyk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 194 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it94% 109 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it79% 154 of 196
Paszkiewicz2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuszczyk8wins
AwayPaszkiewicz2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuszczyk88.9%8 of 9
AwayPaszkiewiczn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk9Paszkiewicz1n = 10Juszczyk took 9 of 10
S2Juszczyk7Paszkiewicz3n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Juszczyk6Paszkiewicz4n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Juszczyk0Paszkiewicz4n = 4Paszkiewicz took 4 of 4
S5Juszczyk3Paszkiewicz0n = 3Juszczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuszczykPaszkiewiczJ − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.832.1+4.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime657 / 1220 vs 426 / 80353.9%53.1%657 / 1220 vs 426 / 803Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.44/Paszkiewicz 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk—111129113M. Paszkiewicz—99111192
WMay 17 · 04:50K. Juszczyk—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—3640
LFeb 22 · 14:10K. Juszczyk—34110M. Paszkiewicz—1111133
LFeb 22 · 06:30K. Juszczyk—1351341M. Paszkiewicz—111115113
WFeb 14 · 24:55K. Juszczyk—1114113M. Paszkiewicz—71240
WNov 22 · 24:05K. Juszczyk—1111310113M. Paszkiewicz—97111232
WSep 14 · 24:20K. Juszczyk—1211113M. Paszkiewicz—10580
WSep 13 · 20:20K. Juszczyk—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—2480
WAug 10 · 02:45K. Juszczyk—119128113M. Paszkiewicz—711101192
WAug 9 · 23:05K. Juszczyk—1113143M. Paszkiewicz—311120
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 12 · 10:10W. Urban2.1071190K. Juszczyk1.671113113WSep 12 · 09:25K. Juszczyk1.9210111113123Z. Sobkow1.721261311102LSep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.3371090G. Sawicki3.251112113LSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20119111082A. Cichocki1.61511812113WSep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk1.53111129113M. Paszkiewicz2.3899111192LSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:25K. Juszczyk1.7381111113Z. Sobkow2.00118881WSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113WSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113LSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 12 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk2.251114691M. Paszkiewicz1.57131211113LSep 12 · 09:00W. Urban1.8011611113M. Paszkiewicz1.91511991LSep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.4011159113M. Paszkiewicz2.757131181WSep 12 · 07:20Z. Sobkow1.617111061M. Paszkiewicz2.2011712113LSep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk1.53111129113M. Paszkiewicz2.3899111192LSep 12 · 04:30G. Sawicki2.5011118113M. Paszkiewicz1.50971171LSep 12 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk2.251111123M. Paszkiewicz1.5745100LSep 9 · 08:20M. Adamus1.8811119113M. Paszkiewicz1.82971181LSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960WSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113
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