TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114982
Played Sep 12Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131412611911––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Slosarczyk above · Michal Paszkiewicz below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 87 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Michal Paszkiewicz at 61.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 1–9 Michal Paszkiewicz Pawel Slosarczyk has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Paszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Paszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1316 vs Paszkiewicz 1298
Slosarczyk
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Paszkiewicz 20%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 50% vs Paszkiewicz 20%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -2 · Paszkiewicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.25 / Paszkiewicz 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13114982
Slosarczyk2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 111 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back14% 28 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Paszkiewicz1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 77 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk1wins
AwayPaszkiewicz9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk25%1 of 4
AwayPaszkiewicz100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk4Paszkiewicz6n = 10Paszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Slosarczyk3Paszkiewicz7n = 10Paszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S3Slosarczyk5Paszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Slosarczyk1Paszkiewicz7n = 8Paszkiewicz took 7 of 8
S5Slosarczyk0Paszkiewicz3n = 3Paszkiewicz took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykPaszkiewiczS − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.041.3−6.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 838 vs 425 / 80138.5%53.1%323 / 838 vs 425 / 801Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczSlosarczyk 2.25/Paszkiewicz 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.3%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 23:55P. Slosarczyk—11115113M. Paszkiewicz—741111
LAug 23 · 17:55P. Slosarczyk—5811131M. Paszkiewicz—11118153
LDec 30 · 07:00P. Slosarczyk—1011581M. Paszkiewicz—12611113
LNov 16 · 23:25P. Slosarczyk—101111462M. Paszkiewicz—126911113
LNov 12 · 16:55P. Slosarczyk—14511282M. Paszkiewicz—1211911113
LNov 12 · 10:55P. Slosarczyk—114861M. Paszkiewicz—91111113
LNov 3 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk—1761191M. Paszkiewicz—19119113
LSep 8 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk—11611962M. Paszkiewicz—411711113
LSep 7 · 16:00P. Slosarczyk—8940M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
LSep 3 · 05:00P. Slosarczyk—7970M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890LSep 12 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.3841191562Z. Sobkow1.531151113113WSep 12 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk1.2511511113G. Sawicki3.75711691LSep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.5044100A. Cichocki1.131111123WSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk2.251111123M. Paszkiewicz1.5745100WSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Sokolowski1.918711111P. Slosarczyk1.8011116133LSep 11 · 11:25M. Baron1.6781115113P. Slosarczyk2.101181371LSep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.3311911113P. Slosarczyk3.25611491
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 12 · 09:00W. Urban1.8011611113M. Paszkiewicz1.91511991LSep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.4011159113M. Paszkiewicz2.757131181WSep 12 · 07:20Z. Sobkow1.617111061M. Paszkiewicz2.2011712113LSep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk1.53111129113M. Paszkiewicz2.3899111192LSep 12 · 04:30G. Sawicki2.5011118113M. Paszkiewicz1.50971171LSep 12 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk2.251111123M. Paszkiewicz1.5745100LSep 9 · 08:20M. Adamus1.8811119113M. Paszkiewicz1.82971181LSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960WSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.00111110113M. Paszkiewicz1.71591261
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