TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118545
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191113411118118
Aleksander Cichocki
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Aleksander Cichocki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 0–1 Aleksander Cichocki Krzysztof Juszczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Cichocki beat Juszczyk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Cichocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1429 vs Cichocki 1518
Cichocki
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 40% vs Cichocki 80%
Cichocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 60% vs Cichocki 80%
Cichocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk -1 · Cichocki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cichocki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 2.50 / Cichocki 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13118545
Juszczyk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 99 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back28% 33 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Cichocki1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 78 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJuszczyk0wins
AwayCichocki1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderCichocki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJuszczykCichockiJ − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.047.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykCichockiBasisWin rate · lifetime657 / 1221 vs 114 / 18053.8%63.3%657 / 1221 vs 114 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiJuszczyk 2.50/Cichocki 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk49119111082A. Cichocki47511812113
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 12 · 11:25K. Juszczyk1.44312931M. Paszkiewicz2.63111011113WSep 12 · 10:10W. Urban2.1071190K. Juszczyk1.671113113WSep 12 · 09:25K. Juszczyk1.9210111113123Z. Sobkow1.721261311102LSep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.3371090G. Sawicki3.251112113LSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20119111082A. Cichocki1.61511812113WSep 12 · 05:15K. Juszczyk1.53111129113M. Paszkiewicz2.3899111192LSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:25K. Juszczyk1.7381111113Z. Sobkow2.00118881WSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113WSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113
A. Cichocki10
WSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123LSep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.44510111382Z. Sobkow2.631112511113WSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890WSep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.4011159113M. Paszkiewicz2.757131181WSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20119111082A. Cichocki1.61511812113WSep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.5044100A. Cichocki1.131111123WSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki1.531741112113Z. Sobkow2.38151191422WSep 12 · 03:50A. Cichocki1.2511911113G. Sawicki3.75711981WAug 30 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.141211113P. Slosarczyk5.0010790LAug 30 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.5751151132M. Lach2.25118117113
Upcoming Matches
K. Juszczyk
A. Cichocki
Sep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki1.33M. Paszkiewicz3.25—Sep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.53W. Wojtaszczyk2.38—Sep 13 · 04:10A. Cichocki1.44Z. Sobkow2.63—Sep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.67J. Wieczerzak2.10—Sep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.53M. Lach2.38—Sep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.53S. Szostok2.38—Sep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.57W. Wojtaszczyk2.25—Sep 13 · 10:10A. Cichocki1.53S. Szostok2.38—Sep 13 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.61J. Wieczerzak2.20—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.