TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114943
Played Sep 12Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116117––––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:44 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWojciech Urban above · Pawel Slosarczyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-3
Point 44 set 3, 6-3 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 73.2%
44 points drawn · the score is 9 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Wojciech Urban 21–4 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 4 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-4 in 25
Urban
Correct
gap of 17 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1410 vs Slosarczyk 1341
Urban
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 60% vs Slosarczyk 40%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 40% vs Slosarczyk 60%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -2 · Slosarczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.36 / Slosarczyk 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Urban)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114943
Urban1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 174 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it74% 122 of 166
Slosarczyk3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 111 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back14% 28 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban10wins
AwaySlosarczyk0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUrban leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban100%9 of 9
AwaySlosarczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban9Slosarczyk1n = 10Urban took 9 of 10
S2Urban3Slosarczyk7n = 10Slosarczyk took 7 of 10
S3Urban10Slosarczyk0n = 10Urban took 10 of 10
S4Urban5Slosarczyk3n = 8Urban took 5 of 8
S5Urban3Slosarczyk0n = 3Urban took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanSlosarczykU − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.937.6+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1595 vs 325 / 84147.2%38.6%753 / 1595 vs 325 / 841Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUrban 1.36/Slosarczyk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 08:00W. Urban4311811133P. Slosarczyk378117111
WAug 25 · 03:55W. Urban51614118123P. Slosarczyk501112611102
WAug 24 · 21:55W. Urban331111113P. Slosarczyk209470
WAug 24 · 03:55W. Urban331111113P. Slosarczyk249870
WAug 23 · 21:55W. Urban3911611113P. Slosarczyk35611991
WAug 10 · 01:30W. Urban4311911123P. Slosarczyk369116101
WAug 9 · 19:30W. Urban481151110113P. Slosarczyk4681161292
WJul 28 · 11:50W. Urban561471113113P. Slosarczyk56121191592
WJul 28 · 03:50W. Urban4111811113P. Slosarczyk35811881
WJul 20 · 03:55W. Urban4211713113P. Slosarczyk379111161
W. Urban10
LSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123LSep 12 · 10:10W. Urban2.1071190K. Juszczyk1.671113113WSep 12 · 09:00W. Urban1.8011611113M. Paszkiewicz1.91511991WSep 10 · 14:40L. Oracz1.738990W. Urban2.001111113WSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63811811123K. Slawinski1.44117116102LSep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.731511113W. Urban2.0013960LSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.831111113W. Urban1.834970WSep 10 · 08:35P. Kurek1.80913891W. Urban1.91111111113LSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63811461K. Slawinski1.4411611113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 12 · 13:55K. Juszczyk1.4411115113P. Slosarczyk2.63891191WSep 12 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.0081111113Z. Sobkow1.73117391LSep 12 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk2.251114691M. Paszkiewicz1.57131211113LSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890LSep 12 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.3841191562Z. Sobkow1.531151113113WSep 12 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk1.2511511113G. Sawicki3.75711691LSep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.5044100A. Cichocki1.131111123WSep 12 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.6391111113K. Juszczyk1.44117671WSep 12 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk2.251111123M. Paszkiewicz1.5745100WSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113
Upcoming Matches
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