TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120329
Played Sep 13Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
15171210119611118
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Jacek Wieczerzak below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 110 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 58.6%
110 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 7–7 Jacek Wieczerzak Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1553 vs Wieczerzak 1464
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 80% vs Wieczerzak 60%
Cichocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 80% vs Wieczerzak 60%
Cichocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +3 · Wieczerzak +2
Cichocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wieczerzak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.67 / Wieczerzak 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13120329
Cichocki1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 84 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Wieczerzak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 41 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCichocki5wins
AwayWieczerzak5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCichocki66.7%4 of 6
AwayWieczerzak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki6Wieczerzak4n = 10Cichocki took 6 of 10
S2Cichocki3Wieczerzak7n = 10Wieczerzak took 7 of 10
S3Cichocki7Wieczerzak3n = 10Cichocki took 7 of 10
S4Cichocki2Wieczerzak5n = 7Wieczerzak took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCichockiWieczerzakC − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.337.3−1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 184 vs 142 / 26563.6%53.6%117 / 184 vs 142 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.67/Wieczerzak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki4381112123J. Wieczerzak3811710101
LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki34149561J. Wieczerzak45121111113
LAug 29 · 09:00A. Cichocki31591161J. Wieczerzak4111118113
LAug 29 · 04:30A. Cichocki30871141J. Wieczerzak4111118113
WAug 23 · 09:50A. Cichocki331111113J. Wieczerzak248880
WAug 23 · 05:40A. Cichocki4111811113J. Wieczerzak34711971
LAug 22 · 11:50A. Cichocki35117981J. Wieczerzak4291111113
WAug 22 · 03:50A. Cichocki561213119113J. Wieczerzak54101591192
WAug 10 · 13:55A. Cichocki331111113J. Wieczerzak213990
LAug 10 · 04:10A. Cichocki279990J. Wieczerzak331111113
A. Cichocki10
WSep 13 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.7511611952A. Cichocki1.40511311113WSep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.57101111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.25123541WSep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki1.3351111113M. Paszkiewicz3.25115991LSep 12 · 12:40K. Juszczyk2.501111411113A. Cichocki1.5091311882WSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123LSep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki1.44510111382Z. Sobkow2.631112511113WSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890WSep 12 · 08:10A. Cichocki1.4011159113M. Paszkiewicz2.757131181WSep 12 · 06:30K. Juszczyk2.20119111082A. Cichocki1.61511812113WSep 12 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk5.5044100A. Cichocki1.131111123
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 13 · 04:30S. Szostok1.83512851J. Wieczerzak1.83111011113WSep 13 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.1010870J. Wieczerzak1.671211113LSep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.836540F. Witczak1.861111113WSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113LSep 12 · 14:20M. Lach1.761111113J. Wieczerzak1.908990WSep 12 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak1.9512117113W. Wojtaszczyk1.771041181WSep 12 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.801111611113D. Morawiec1.8652111382LSep 12 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.831157101F. Witczak1.8681111123LSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.8011112123J. Wieczerzak1.909511101WSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133
Upcoming Matches
A. Cichocki
Sep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.57M. Lach2.25—Sep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.53S. Szostok2.38—Sep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.44W. Wojtaszczyk2.63—Sep 13 · 10:10A. Cichocki1.53S. Szostok2.38—Sep 13 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.61J. Wieczerzak2.20—Sep 13 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.57M. Lach2.25—Sep 13 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.40Z. Sobkow2.75—
J. Wieczerzak
Sep 13 · 07:20J. Wieczerzak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73—Sep 13 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak1.80M. Lach1.91—Sep 13 · 09:00J. Wieczerzak1.83S. Szostok1.83—Sep 13 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.67Z. Sobkow2.10—Sep 13 · 11:25J. Wieczerzak2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Sep 13 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73—Sep 13 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak1.80M. Lach1.91—
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