TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119137
Played Sep 12Finished
Marcin Lach
Home
1.76
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
118119119––––
H2H Marcin Lach 12–11 Jacek Wieczerzak Jacek Wieczerzak has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Wieczerzak beat Lach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:23What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Lach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lach 1422 vs Wieczerzak 1464
Wieczerzak
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lach 60% vs Wieczerzak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lach 50% vs Wieczerzak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lach +2 · Wieczerzak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lach)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.76 / Wieczerzak 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lach)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13119137
Lach1.76
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 114 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Wieczerzak1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 42 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLach5wins
AwayWieczerzak5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLach75%3 of 4
AwayWieczerzak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lach4Wieczerzak6n = 10Wieczerzak took 6 of 10
S2Lach6Wieczerzak4n = 10Lach took 6 of 10
S3Lach4Wieczerzak6n = 10Wieczerzak took 6 of 10
S4Lach2Wieczerzak3n = 5Wieczerzak took 3 of 5
S5Lach2Wieczerzak1n = 3Lach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLachWieczerzakL − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.635.1−0.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 223 vs 139 / 26062.3%53.5%139 / 223 vs 139 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachLach 1.76/Wieczerzak 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:20M. Lach269980J. Wieczerzak331111113
WAug 30 · 14:20M. Lach491111115113J. Wieczerzak4613681182
WAug 30 · 08:10M. Lach341112113J. Wieczerzak2571080
LAug 29 · 14:20M. Lach168620J. Wieczerzak331111113
LAug 29 · 08:10M. Lach204880J. Wieczerzak331111113
WAug 23 · 12:40M. Lach331111113J. Wieczerzak199820
LAug 23 · 06:30M. Lach30611581J. Wieczerzak3711411113
LAug 22 · 12:40M. Lach45111111662J. Wieczerzak52813911113
WAug 22 · 06:30M. Lach4011117113J. Wieczerzak30931171
WAug 10 · 09:50M. Lach539111111113J. Wieczerzak4311913642
M. Lach10
WSep 12 · 12:45M. Lach1.8311115113M. Oracz1.81991161WSep 12 · 11:30M. Lach1.831111113F. Witczak1.836970LSep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.861111153M. Lach1.8073130WSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:45M. Lach1.908911111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133LSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 12 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak1.9512117113W. Wojtaszczyk1.771041181WSep 12 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.801111611113D. Morawiec1.8652111382LSep 12 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.831157101F. Witczak1.8681111123LSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.8011112123J. Wieczerzak1.909511101WSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133LSep 12 · 07:30J. Wieczerzak1.9971050W. Wojtaszczyk1.681112113WSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lach
Sep 12 · 15:30M. Lach1.70D. Morawiec1.96—Sep 12 · 17:05M. Lach1.90W. Wojtaszczyk1.80—Sep 13 · 03:50M. Lach2.10S. Szostok1.67—Sep 13 · 04:55M. Lach1.91W. Wojtaszczyk1.80—Sep 13 · 05:40M. Lach1.61Z. Sobkow2.20—Sep 13 · 06:30M. Lach2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Sep 13 · 08:10M. Lach1.83J. Wieczerzak1.83—Sep 13 · 09:50M. Lach1.57Z. Sobkow2.25—Sep 13 · 11:00M. Lach2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73—Sep 13 · 11:50M. Lach2.20S. Szostok1.61—
J. Wieczerzak
Sep 12 · 15:05J. Wieczerzak1.90M. Oracz1.80—Sep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.83F. Witczak1.86—Sep 13 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.67Z. Sobkow2.10—Sep 13 · 04:30J. Wieczerzak1.83S. Szostok1.83—Sep 13 · 05:15J. Wieczerzak2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Sep 13 · 07:20J. Wieczerzak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73—Sep 13 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak1.83M. Lach1.83—Sep 13 · 09:00J. Wieczerzak1.91S. Szostok1.80—Sep 13 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.67Z. Sobkow2.10—Sep 13 · 11:25J. Wieczerzak2.20A. Cichocki1.61—
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