TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118243
Played Sep 12Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151126111113118
Daniel Morawiec
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Morawiec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
1151126111113118
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 1–0 Daniel Morawiec Daniel Morawiec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Wieczerzak beat Morawiec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:34What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wieczerzak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1442 vs Morawiec 1400
Wieczerzak
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Morawiec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Morawiec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak -2 · Morawiec -3
Morawiec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.80 / Morawiec 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wieczerzak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13118243
Wieczerzak1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 75 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it75% 56 of 75
Morawiec1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWieczerzak1wins
AwayMorawiec0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderWieczerzak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWieczerzakMorawiecW − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match54.046.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 258 vs 265 / 47353.1%56%137 / 258 vs 265 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakWieczerzak 1.80/Morawiec 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 08:20J. Wieczerzak541011119133D. Morawiec46123911112
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 12 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak1.9512117113W. Wojtaszczyk1.771041181LSep 12 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.831157101F. Witczak1.8681111123LSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.8011112123J. Wieczerzak1.909511101WSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133LSep 12 · 07:30J. Wieczerzak1.9971050W. Wojtaszczyk1.681112113WSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec1.8511116123F. Witczak1.856911101LSep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.05117581W. Wojtaszczyk1.6871111113LSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960
Upcoming Matches
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D. Morawiec
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