TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13041710
Played Aug 29Finished
Patryk Jedrzejak
Home
1.27
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012118119––
Daniel Morawiec
Away
3.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 79.6% is still 79.6%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
79.6%
79.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1181012118119––
H2H Patryk Jedrzejak 48–23 Daniel Morawiec Daniel Morawiec has won 23 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:14What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Jedrzejak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-23 in 71
Jedrzejak
Correct
gap of 25 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejak 1517 vs Morawiec 1391
Jedrzejak
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejak 80% vs Morawiec 20%
Jedrzejak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejak 70% vs Morawiec 40%
Jedrzejak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejak +4 · Morawiec -2
Jedrzejak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Jedrzejak) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (20%) is below what odds imply (30%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejak 1.27 / Morawiec 3.30
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13041710
Jedrzejak1.27
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 158 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it98% 91 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it86% 119 of 139
Morawiec3.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 25 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJedrzejak7wins
AwayMorawiec3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJedrzejak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJedrzejak80%4 of 5
AwayMorawiec40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejak5Morawiec5n = 10split evenly
S2Jedrzejak8Morawiec2n = 10Jedrzejak took 8 of 10
S3Jedrzejak5Morawiec5n = 10split evenly
S4Jedrzejak6Morawiec2n = 8Jedrzejak took 6 of 8
S5Jedrzejak2Morawiec2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJedrzejakMorawiecJ − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.637.5+7.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejakMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 524 vs 268 / 47567.6%56.4%354 / 524 vs 268 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakJedrzejak 1.27/Morawiec 3.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.2%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jedrzejak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak—1111153D. Morawiec—24130
LAug 22 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak—912101182D. Morawiec—1110124113
WAug 22 · 06:45P. Jedrzejak—131110113D. Morawiec—1181271
WAug 15 · 15:05P. Jedrzejak—81111133D. Morawiec—1124111
WAug 15 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak—111110113D. Morawiec—491231
LJul 25 · 12:20P. Jedrzejak—681191D. Morawiec—11117113
WJul 25 · 08:20P. Jedrzejak—811813113D. Morawiec—117111182
LJul 11 · 15:30P. Jedrzejak—121211992D. Morawiec—1014811113
WJul 11 · 09:30P. Jedrzejak—1311113D. Morawiec—11980
WJun 27 · 12:20P. Jedrzejak—911911153D. Morawiec—116113132
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
Upcoming Matches
P. Jedrzejak
Nothing scheduled
D. Morawiec
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
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