TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040863
Played Aug 29Finished
Daniel Morawiec
Home
1.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118116––––
Rafal Adach
Away
2.70
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:41 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Morawiec to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
116118116––––
H2H Daniel Morawiec 3–1 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Morawiec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Morawiec
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Morawiec 1408 vs Adach 1262
Morawiec
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Morawiec 40% vs Adach 20%
Morawiec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Morawiec 60% vs Adach 30%
Morawiec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Morawiec -3 · Adach -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Morawiec) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (20%) is below what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMorawiec 1.38 / Adach 2.70
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Morawiec)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13040863
Morawiec1.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 100 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 67 of 88
Adach2.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 82 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back20% 24 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMorawiec3wins
AwayAdach1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMorawiec leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Morawiec2Adach2n = 4split evenly
S2Morawiec3Adach1n = 4Morawiec took 3 of 4
S3Morawiec1Adach3n = 4Adach took 3 of 4
S4Morawiec3Adach1n = 4Morawiec took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMorawiecAdachM − ABasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.535.0+7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorawiecAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 472 vs 225 / 53056.6%42.5%267 / 472 vs 225 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.734.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorawiecMorawiec 1.38/Adach 2.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69%
Morawiec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Morawiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 25 · 13:30D. Morawiec—91111113R. Adach—116581
LJul 25 · 07:30D. Morawiec—1011671R. Adach—12811113
WFeb 14 · 15:45D. Morawiec—1181111113R. Adach—61113562
WFeb 14 · 12:05D. Morawiec—11119113R. Adach—741151
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113
Upcoming Matches
D. Morawiec1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
R. Adach
Nothing scheduled
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